Anonymous
Post 07/23/2022 12:37     Subject: Re:Elrich Now in the Lead

Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:Votes are being counted based on when they were received. I think old people are more likely to get their ballot in the day they received it, while working folks may have taken more time (like me.. I was on a business trip when it arrived).

Well, that's my hope at least... I figure older people more likely to vote for Elrich because of his great Covid lockdowns, including keeping public libraries and playgrounds closed while all surrounding jurisdictions had already reopened them.

Elrich was always expected to do well with the mail-in vote. It is a demographic that generally trends older which favors him. What was unexpected is how well he would do.

It is pretty clear at this stage that Elrich will win. The only question will be the margin of victory.

Hans Riemer should be ashamed of himself.


Not yet, let's give it a few more days. If the trend continues, then yes. But his percentage of votes was lower with yesterday's count than it was from Thursday's.

The idea that Blair is going to make up votes among the remaining mail-in and provisional ballots is far fetched. The mail-in voter population is not representative of the county as a whole.


Elrich made up the difference with the first 2 days of mail-in ballots. It's just as possible for Blair to swing it the other way with the remainder of ballots, which is a larger number than what was already counted.
Anonymous
Post 07/23/2022 12:35     Subject: Re:Elrich Now in the Lead

Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:Votes are being counted based on when they were received. I think old people are more likely to get their ballot in the day they received it, while working folks may have taken more time (like me.. I was on a business trip when it arrived).

Well, that's my hope at least... I figure older people more likely to vote for Elrich because of his great Covid lockdowns, including keeping public libraries and playgrounds closed while all surrounding jurisdictions had already reopened them.

Elrich was always expected to do well with the mail-in vote. It is a demographic that generally trends older which favors him. What was unexpected is how well he would do.

It is pretty clear at this stage that Elrich will win. The only question will be the margin of victory.

Hans Riemer should be ashamed of himself.


Not yet, let's give it a few more days. If the trend continues, then yes. But his percentage of votes was lower with yesterday's count than it was from Thursday's.

The idea that Blair is going to make up votes among the remaining mail-in and provisional ballots is far fetched. The mail-in voter population is not representative of the county as a whole.
Anonymous
Post 07/23/2022 12:31     Subject: Elrich Now in the Lead

Anonymous wrote:I just reread the Bethesda Beat article. 34,000 have been counted, as in we know about them. The BOE guy said there were another 27,000 in their warehouse that have not yet been logged in are received. And the 9,000 provisional ballots, which couldn't have even been created until early voting, won't get counted until the 29th, by law. I am one of the provisional ballots. I did it during early voting because i never got my mail in ballot.

Those last 27,000 and 9,000 ballots are late enough to favor Blair. Similar to how early voting favored Blair. I certainly can't say he will win, but this isn't over quite yet.

The vast majority of provisional ballots are not counted unfortunately. If you want your provisional ballot to count, it is necessary for your to personally follow-up and submit appropriate attestation.
Anonymous
Post 07/23/2022 12:28     Subject: Elrich Now in the Lead

Anonymous wrote:I just reread the Bethesda Beat article. 34,000 have been counted, as in we know about them. The BOE guy said there were another 27,000 in their warehouse that have not yet been logged in are received. And the 9,000 provisional ballots, which couldn't have even been created until early voting, won't get counted until the 29th, by law. I am one of the provisional ballots. I did it during early voting because i never got my mail in ballot.

Those last 27,000 and 9,000 ballots are late enough to favor Blair. Similar to how early voting favored Blair. I certainly can't say he will win, but this isn't over quite yet.


Sorry, provisional ballots on the 27th. Mail in batch number 2 on the 29th.
Anonymous
Post 07/23/2022 12:27     Subject: Elrich Now in the Lead

I just reread the Bethesda Beat article. 34,000 have been counted, as in we know about them. The BOE guy said there were another 27,000 in their warehouse that have not yet been logged in are received. And the 9,000 provisional ballots, which couldn't have even been created until early voting, won't get counted until the 29th, by law. I am one of the provisional ballots. I did it during early voting because i never got my mail in ballot.

Those last 27,000 and 9,000 ballots are late enough to favor Blair. Similar to how early voting favored Blair. I certainly can't say he will win, but this isn't over quite yet.
Anonymous
Post 07/23/2022 12:24     Subject: Re:Elrich Now in the Lead

Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:Votes are being counted based on when they were received. I think old people are more likely to get their ballot in the day they received it, while working folks may have taken more time (like me.. I was on a business trip when it arrived).

Well, that's my hope at least... I figure older people more likely to vote for Elrich because of his great Covid lockdowns, including keeping public libraries and playgrounds closed while all surrounding jurisdictions had already reopened them.

They are not being counted in order received. They are being collected and counted by precinct.


well then Dr. Zelaya lied during Wednesday's media briefing. Why?


Here's a good article on it:
https://bethesdamagazine.com/bethesda-beat/politics/heres-a-look-at-the-process-for-counting-mail-in-and-provisional-ballots-in-montgomery-county/

Today is the day they transcscribe emailed ballots (you can guess that demographic.. probably more Riemer and Blair votes there) so they can be prepared to be counted.

They mention processing random batches of 50 at a time, but it's unclear if it's precinct by precinct.
Anonymous
Post 07/23/2022 12:21     Subject: Re:Elrich Now in the Lead

Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:Votes are being counted based on when they were received. I think old people are more likely to get their ballot in the day they received it, while working folks may have taken more time (like me.. I was on a business trip when it arrived).

Well, that's my hope at least... I figure older people more likely to vote for Elrich because of his great Covid lockdowns, including keeping public libraries and playgrounds closed while all surrounding jurisdictions had already reopened them.

They are not being counted in order received. They are being collected and counted by precinct.


Ok, then which precincts are being counted first? During election day counts, it was obvious 4, 5, 6 council districts were being counted first, and they obviously favored Elrich.


Yeah this is confusing. THey are sorting the ballots into tables by precinct then.. do they count an entire precinct first before moving to the next precinct?
Anonymous
Post 07/23/2022 12:19     Subject: Re:Elrich Now in the Lead

Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:Votes are being counted based on when they were received. I think old people are more likely to get their ballot in the day they received it, while working folks may have taken more time (like me.. I was on a business trip when it arrived).

Well, that's my hope at least... I figure older people more likely to vote for Elrich because of his great Covid lockdowns, including keeping public libraries and playgrounds closed while all surrounding jurisdictions had already reopened them.

They are not being counted in order received. They are being collected and counted by precinct.


well then Dr. Zelaya lied during Wednesday's media briefing. Why?
Anonymous
Post 07/23/2022 12:18     Subject: Re:Elrich Now in the Lead

Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:Votes are being counted based on when they were received. I think old people are more likely to get their ballot in the day they received it, while working folks may have taken more time (like me.. I was on a business trip when it arrived).

Well, that's my hope at least... I figure older people more likely to vote for Elrich because of his great Covid lockdowns, including keeping public libraries and playgrounds closed while all surrounding jurisdictions had already reopened them.

Elrich was always expected to do well with the mail-in vote. It is a demographic that generally trends older which favors him. What was unexpected is how well he would do.

It is pretty clear at this stage that Elrich will win. The only question will be the margin of victory.

Hans Riemer should be ashamed of himself.


Not yet, let's give it a few more days. If the trend continues, then yes. But his percentage of votes was lower with yesterday's count than it was from Thursday's.
Anonymous
Post 07/23/2022 12:17     Subject: Re:Elrich Now in the Lead

Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:Votes are being counted based on when they were received. I think old people are more likely to get their ballot in the day they received it, while working folks may have taken more time (like me.. I was on a business trip when it arrived).

Well, that's my hope at least... I figure older people more likely to vote for Elrich because of his great Covid lockdowns, including keeping public libraries and playgrounds closed while all surrounding jurisdictions had already reopened them.

They are not being counted in order received. They are being collected and counted by precinct.


Ok, then which precincts are being counted first? During election day counts, it was obvious 4, 5, 6 council districts were being counted first, and they obviously favored Elrich.
Anonymous
Post 07/23/2022 12:16     Subject: Elrich Now in the Lead

Anonymous wrote:Ugh.

+1
Anonymous
Post 07/23/2022 12:16     Subject: Re:Elrich Now in the Lead

Anonymous wrote:Votes are being counted based on when they were received. I think old people are more likely to get their ballot in the day they received it, while working folks may have taken more time (like me.. I was on a business trip when it arrived).

Well, that's my hope at least... I figure older people more likely to vote for Elrich because of his great Covid lockdowns, including keeping public libraries and playgrounds closed while all surrounding jurisdictions had already reopened them.

Elrich was always expected to do well with the mail-in vote. It is a demographic that generally trends older which favors him. What was unexpected is how well he would do.

It is pretty clear at this stage that Elrich will win. The only question will be the margin of victory.

Hans Riemer should be ashamed of himself.
Anonymous
Post 07/23/2022 12:15     Subject: Elrich Now in the Lead

Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:So glad. Did not want Blair….


You must not want a police department either.


It's going to be a disaster if Elrich wins again. They are 100 officers down. I expect another couple hundred to leave immediately if he wins again.
Anonymous
Post 07/23/2022 12:15     Subject: Re:Elrich Now in the Lead

Anonymous
Post 07/23/2022 12:14     Subject: Re:Elrich Now in the Lead

Anonymous wrote:Votes are being counted based on when they were received. I think old people are more likely to get their ballot in the day they received it, while working folks may have taken more time (like me.. I was on a business trip when it arrived).

Well, that's my hope at least... I figure older people more likely to vote for Elrich because of his great Covid lockdowns, including keeping public libraries and playgrounds closed while all surrounding jurisdictions had already reopened them.

They are not being counted in order received. They are being collected and counted by precinct.