Anonymous wrote:If you’re in this camp, and I acknowledge that many, many people are, I’m asking you to consider that number from a slightly different angle.
FCPS has 189,000 children. .0016 of that is 302. 302 dead children are the Calvary Hill you’re erecting your argument on. So, let’s agree to do this: stop presenting this as a data point. If this is your argument, I challenge you to have courage equal to your conviction. Go ahead, plant a flag on the internet and say, “Only 302 children will die.” No one will. That’s the kind action on social media that gets you fired from your job. And I trust our social media enclave isn’t so careless and irresponsible with life that it would even, for even a millisecond, enter any of your minds to make such an argument.
Considered another way: You’re presented with a bag with 189,000 $1 bills. You’re told that in the bag are 302 random bills, they look and feel just like all the others, but each one of those bills will kill you. Do you take the money out of the bag?
This doesn’t make sense to me. The death rate of 0.0016 is for those children who contract the virus, not of the total population. The author is saying that if all 189K students in FCPS contract COVID, 302 of them will die.
That’s not going to happen.
There have been 1,237 cases of COVID in children ages 0-17 in Fairfax County in the last 4 months. Zero of them have died.
Anonymous wrote:From the moment I read his post I thought it was a plant by FCPS.
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:I just reported his post to Facebook as “False News” and I would urge others to do the same. 3 friends have reposted this factually inaccurate and inflammatory post. His post is just wrong.
Good idea. He refuses to correct the mistakes and people are going to base their decisions on it.
Thanks, I did too.
Anonymous wrote:Whoever wrote this should have reread it before posting. A lot of it is just totally wrong. And he comes off as self-righteous.
Can people who want DL just choose DL and stop feeling the need to force other people into it just so their kids aren’t left out of something? These over the top-long winded posts are getting out of hand.
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:I just reported his post to Facebook as “False News” and I would urge others to do the same. 3 friends have reposted this factually inaccurate and inflammatory post. His post is just wrong.
Good idea. He refuses to correct the mistakes and people are going to base their decisions on it.
Anonymous wrote:I just reported his post to Facebook as “False News” and I would urge others to do the same. 3 friends have reposted this factually inaccurate and inflammatory post. His post is just wrong.
Anonymous wrote:This guys clearly has an agenda. He is trying to get parents to select DL with his sanctimonious and factually incorrect post. While he is entitled to make a choice on behalf on his own children, why is he trying so hard to change other people’s minds? I suspect that he is a teacher hoping to work a few hours/week from home this year at full pay.
Anonymous wrote:This guys clearly has an agenda. He is trying to get parents to select DL with his sanctimonious and factually incorrect post. While he is entitled to make a choice on behalf on his own children, why is he trying so hard to change other people’s minds? I suspect that he is a teacher hoping to work a few hours/week from home this year at full pay.
Anonymous wrote:Nothing like having your dumb math go viral. It’s fitting for a post about sending his kids back to school or not.
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote: This post going viral is a beautiful case study in the way misinformation spreads. This guy, grabs the number .0016 from the internet NOT understanding it is actually .0016 PERCENT. It is 3.02 kids, not 302. And that’s assuming all 189,000 students test positive. It’s really a fatality rate of less than one kid.
As soon as I got to the 3rd paragraph I knew his math had to be wrong bc if kids are not dropping dead all over the country. I’m very disturbed how many of my friends believed this number and shared this on social media.
And if you say 1 kid dying is still too much, you better rethink leaving your house bc life is full of risks all day.
Excellent post. Can you post this as a comment to all your friends’ FB post repeating this guy? Also mention he works for NEA. I have been sitting on my hands all day but I hate FB conflict so I don’t want to post.
Thank you, I tried and a few people just posted that I was missing the whole point and there is so much more to his commentary than the number. I say his miscalculation detracts from his message but apparently I’m in the minority. The worst is he now knows of the mistake but won’t fix it. I need a social media break.
I’m not even bothering correcting people. It’s their choice and they can use whatever data or “data” they want to help them arrive at their decision, just as whatever we decide to do for our children Using whatever information we find is our choice.
Honestly if this makes people choose DL then I hope they don't notice the mistake. The less who choose hybrid the better!
My take-away is ... 3 kids. Whether his math is wrong or not, we're talking about 3 kids. That is 3 kids too many. You people are complete losers if you don't think 3 kids is worthy of more precautions.
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote: This post going viral is a beautiful case study in the way misinformation spreads. This guy, grabs the number .0016 from the internet NOT understanding it is actually .0016 PERCENT. It is 3.02 kids, not 302. And that’s assuming all 189,000 students test positive. It’s really a fatality rate of less than one kid.
As soon as I got to the 3rd paragraph I knew his math had to be wrong bc if kids are not dropping dead all over the country. I’m very disturbed how many of my friends believed this number and shared this on social media.
And if you say 1 kid dying is still too much, you better rethink leaving your house bc life is full of risks all day.
Excellent post. Can you post this as a comment to all your friends’ FB post repeating this guy? Also mention he works for NEA. I have been sitting on my hands all day but I hate FB conflict so I don’t want to post.
Thank you, I tried and a few people just posted that I was missing the whole point and there is so much more to his commentary than the number. I say his miscalculation detracts from his message but apparently I’m in the minority. The worst is he now knows of the mistake but won’t fix it. I need a social media break.
I’m not even bothering correcting people. It’s their choice and they can use whatever data or “data” they want to help them arrive at their decision, just as whatever we decide to do for our children Using whatever information we find is our choice.
Honestly if this makes people choose DL then I hope they don't notice the mistake. The less who choose hybrid the better!
My take-away is ... 3 kids. Whether his math is wrong or not, we're talking about 3 kids. That is 3 kids too many. You people are complete losers if you don't think 3 kids is worthy of more precautions.