Anonymous
Post 04/30/2026 15:48     Subject: Lottery Nerd - Waitlist predictions

Anonymous wrote:When will we start to see waitlists really move? Midnight?


Not in my experience.
Anonymous
Post 04/30/2026 15:44     Subject: Re:Lottery Nerd - Waitlist predictions

Anonymous wrote:We matched at our in-boundary but hoping for MV Calle Ocho where we are #37 on the waiting list for PK3.

Any chance? I had my hopes up but seems like this year will be tougher than the previous ones based on what I see here..?

We are way too far on all the other waiting lists we’re on. Thank you so much!



LN here.

Sorry, you're not going to get an offer. They went that deep last year, but they were in a swing space, and as I understand it, are now back in their newly renovated space. That generally drives demand up, not down, and you wouldn't have gotten in any other year.

Editorializing: IB for PK is lovely. Walk to school! Meet your neighbors!
Anonymous
Post 04/30/2026 15:41     Subject: Re:Lottery Nerd - Waitlist predictions

kareng wrote:Hi LN, twins apply for PK4. Pls help to predict.

Hearst #40 #55
Ross #39 #54
Janney #45 #63
Murch #43 #53
Marie Reed #25 #29



LN here. Sorry for the delay, got busy.

I would assume almost always, once the first kid gets in, they'll pull in the second one. Unfortunately, your kid's lottery numbers must have been pretty similar - Hearst, for example, has a waitlist of 100 kids, so both your kids are right around the middle. You'd be better off if one of them had a better number, even if the second had a really crappy one.

Hearst #40 #55 - You've got a chance here. Of the past five years, twice they've gone that deep into the waitlist. So, 40% chance. Would likely be in August or September if you did get a slot.
Ross #39 #54 - No offer.
Janney #45 #63 - You have a chance here as well. Of the past five years, twice they have gone that deep into the waitlist. So, 40% chance.
Murch #43 #53 - No offer.
Marie Reed #25 #29 - No offer.
Anonymous
Post 04/30/2026 15:26     Subject: Lottery Nerd - Waitlist predictions

When will we start to see waitlists really move? Midnight?
Anonymous
Post 04/30/2026 12:38     Subject: Re:Lottery Nerd - Waitlist predictions

Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:Lottery for fourth grader:

Burroughs #10
Whittier #8
Inspired Teaching #6


Wow I'm amazed that your ITDS number is the lowest.


The others could be post lottery additions.
Anonymous
Post 04/29/2026 19:51     Subject: Re:Lottery Nerd - Waitlist predictions

You’re very likely to get in. They are typically under enrolled
Anonymous wrote:Stevens ELC PK3- #53
Any chance?!
Anonymous
Post 04/27/2026 10:21     Subject: Lottery Nerd - Waitlist predictions

LN are you there????
Anonymous
Post 04/27/2026 07:26     Subject: Re:Lottery Nerd - Waitlist predictions

Anonymous wrote:Lottery for fourth grader:

Burroughs #10
Whittier #8
Inspired Teaching #6


Wow I'm amazed that your ITDS number is the lowest.
Anonymous
Post 04/27/2026 01:13     Subject: Re:Lottery Nerd - Waitlist predictions

Lottery for fourth grader:

Burroughs #10
Whittier #8
Inspired Teaching #6
Anonymous
Post 04/22/2026 13:39     Subject: Lottery Nerd - Waitlist predictions

Anonymous wrote:7th grade lottery list

Stuart Hobson #6
Hardy #16
DCI (Spanish Language Program) #19
Oyster-Adams Bilingual School (Adams) #9
Deal Middle School #19
John Francis Education Campus #26
Eliot-Hines Middle School #29
Jefferson Middle School #14


Did you add some of these post-lottery? The WL numbers for some schools are otherwise higher than possible.
Anonymous
Post 04/22/2026 12:04     Subject: Lottery Nerd - Waitlist predictions

7th grade lottery list

Stuart Hobson #6
Hardy #16
DCI (Spanish Language Program) #19
Oyster-Adams Bilingual School (Adams) #9
Deal Middle School #19
John Francis Education Campus #26
Eliot-Hines Middle School #29
Jefferson Middle School #14
Anonymous
Post 04/21/2026 18:03     Subject: Lottery Nerd - Waitlist predictions

6th grade
Stuart Hobson #6
Anonymous
Post 04/15/2026 09:16     Subject: Re:Lottery Nerd - Waitlist predictions

We matched at our in-boundary but hoping for MV Calle Ocho where we are #37 on the waiting list for PK3.

Any chance? I had my hopes up but seems like this year will be tougher than the previous ones based on what I see here..?

We are way too far on all the other waiting lists we’re on. Thank you so much!

kareng
Post 04/13/2026 15:36     Subject: Re:Lottery Nerd - Waitlist predictions

Hi LN, twins apply for PK4. Pls help to predict.

Hearst #40 #55
Ross #39 #54
Janney #45 #63
Murch #43 #53
Marie Reed #25 #29

Anonymous
Post 04/13/2026 15:13     Subject: Lottery Nerd - Waitlist predictions

Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:Hi - John Francis 6th grade 74


LN here. Is this the same poster? Because John Francis also only had 59 people on the waitlist for 6th grade this year. I didn't realize that many people were doing post lottery waitlists.

In any case, you have no chance here, they never go that deep into a waitlist.

Assuming that there really were 25 more people post-lottery added to the Two Rivers waitlist - they never let that many people off the waitlist.

If you're looking for schools that tend to clear their waitlists, I'd look at Wells, Jefferson, McFarland, and Sojourner Truth. I think they all usually clear their waitlists, or at least come close.



Got it - so helpful, thank you so much for taking your time. We are actually in boundary for Wells and could get into Macfarland but I haven’t heard good things about these schools.