Anonymous wrote:Just noting that cases haven't really seemed to drop off from last week -- so far today we're at over 60, which is higher than where we were this time last week right after break. I do expect them to go back down within a week or two but do find it interesting that 22207 is getting the majority of the cases -- 95 compared with next highest zip of 31 cases in 22204. Not sure if this is lack of mask wearing in schools or fallout from Spring Break travel (folks coming back from break and infecting family members or others at their northern schools like Yorktown, Jamestown, and Discovery, which are the top 3 school vectors right now (beating out all the other high schools, even).
We're 3 weeks out from Spring Break now and actually cases seem to have gone up rather than down, if anything, however the outbreaks are moving around. 22207 is still the leader with 117 cases in the last week.
https://apsva.co1.qualtrics.com/public-dashboard/v0/dashboard/60d5f170495a0000108b9941#/dashboard/60d5f170495a0000108b9941?pageId=Page_c7dbca22-0199-45ae-94fa-a01dbf2296ee Jamestown and Discovery etc. numbers have dropped off and the new leaders are Yorktown High and Cardinal Elementary.
Not panicked AT ALL, just a little surprised the numbers haven't gone down earlier as I thought they would. I guess the new outbreak needs time to make its way through different schools before numbers recede back to earlier levels. I would predict then that in coming weeks other zip codes besides 22207 will become leaders again once the virus fully works its way through the schools in that population.