Anonymous
Anonymous
06/28/2024 12:15
Subject: Biden’s latest Poll numbers
So Newsom shot up last night?
Anonymous
06/28/2024 10:44
Subject: Re:Biden’s latest Poll numbers
Anonymous
06/24/2024 12:44
Subject: Re:Biden’s latest Poll numbers
Anonymous wrote:So this was your big poll bump after persecuting Trump? mmmkay.
https://www.270towin.com/maps/consensus-2024-presidential-election-forecast
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/national/?ex_cid=abcpromo
Pretty sure all you MAGAs told me that Trump's polls would soar after he was convicted. You seem to have memory holed that.
Anonymous
06/24/2024 11:56
Subject: Re:Biden’s latest Poll numbers
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:So this was your big poll bump after persecuting Trump? mmmkay.
https://www.270towin.com/maps/consensus-2024-presidential-election-forecast
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/national/?ex_cid=abcpromo
It's "Joe-Mentum"
Anonymous
06/24/2024 11:28
Subject: Re:Biden’s latest Poll numbers
Anonymous wrote:So this was your big poll bump after persecuting Trump? mmmkay.
https://www.270towin.com/maps/consensus-2024-presidential-election-forecast
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/national/?ex_cid=abcpromo
Anonymous
Anonymous
06/24/2024 10:47
Subject: Re:Biden’s latest Poll numbers
Anonymous wrote:So this was your big poll bump after persecuting Trump? mmmkay.
https://www.270towin.com/maps/consensus-2024-presidential-election-forecast
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/national/?ex_cid=abcpromo
NY State prosecuted Trump.
No one was persecuted.
Anonymous
06/24/2024 10:31
Subject: Re:Biden’s latest Poll numbers
So this was your big poll bump after persecuting Trump? mmmkay.
https://www.270towin.com/maps/consensus-2024-presidential-election-forecast
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/national/?ex_cid=abcpromo
https://www.270towin.com/maps/consensus-2024-presidential-election-forecast
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/national/?ex_cid=abcpromo
Anonymous
06/21/2024 21:45
Subject: Biden’s latest Poll numbers
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Let's reconvene after the debate next week, shall we? One or the other should get a bump.
Generally it takes a while for impressions of events to trickle down to the very-low-information masses. The polls conducted immediately after the debate will show you its impact on the media and the high-information voters. The way the media spins the event, and the way talking heads and people in the public eye opine on it on social media, will help frame the messaging for the next group, the medium-information voters. That takes about one or two weeks. But you want to do at least month out to capture the fuzzy feelings of the uninterested masses - and it's the masses that will decide this election, not the others.
The very slight pro-Biden shift in multiple polls this week is about Trump's felony charges. That's how long it took.
I think the polling is completely clucked. One poll has Trump neck and neck with Biden in urban centers and this new Fox one allegedly has Biden beating Trump by two points* in rural areas. Granted Trump’s policies kicked farmers hard in the teeth, and I think people are just sick of the orange devil, but… I don’t think so. https://www.newsweek.com/fox-news-poll-donald-trump-joe-biden-election-rural-voters-1915733
*per the reddit discussion of this, the above figure might just have been a typo, in which case, way to go, Fox! Great attention to detail.
In other words: the polls don’t know what the clucking heck they’re doing.
Anonymous
06/21/2024 20:32
Subject: Biden’s latest Poll numbers
Anonymous wrote:Let's reconvene after the debate next week, shall we? One or the other should get a bump.
Generally it takes a while for impressions of events to trickle down to the very-low-information masses. The polls conducted immediately after the debate will show you its impact on the media and the high-information voters. The way the media spins the event, and the way talking heads and people in the public eye opine on it on social media, will help frame the messaging for the next group, the medium-information voters. That takes about one or two weeks. But you want to do at least month out to capture the fuzzy feelings of the uninterested masses - and it's the masses that will decide this election, not the others.
The very slight pro-Biden shift in multiple polls this week is about Trump's felony charges. That's how long it took.
Anonymous
06/21/2024 20:06
Subject: Biden’s latest Poll numbers
Let's reconvene after the debate next week, shall we? One or the other should get a bump.
Anonymous
Anonymous
06/21/2024 13:47
Subject: Biden’s latest Poll numbers
Biden 50%-48% Trump
from latest Fox News poll:
https://www.foxnews.com/official-polls/fox-news-poll-three-point-shift-biden-trump-matchup-since-may