Dems are outperforming Biden's 2020 result because of Dobbs.

Biden and the Dems will continue to outperform 2020 because of abortion.

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Another Tuesday, another significant Democratic overperformance in a special election. Tim Kennedy (no relation) won New York’s 26th district yesterday by a massive 36 points, significantly outperforming Biden's 23-point win there.

This goes to show that the Dem Party and their candidates in general aren't the reason the POTUS race is a toss up that could go either even though the GOP candidate is the worst POTUS candidate in American history. Trump should be steamrolled but instead he has a 50/50 chance of winning because the Dem Party is hellbent on nominating their unfit, lame duck incumbent. Thanks for nothing, Joe.

He beat trump just fine in 2020 and will do so again.

I'll take a vegetable brained POTUS over Trump any day.

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Another Tuesday, another significant Democratic overperformance in a special election. Tim Kennedy (no relation) won New York’s 26th district yesterday by a massive 36 points, significantly outperforming Biden's 23-point win there.

This goes to show that the Dem Party and their candidates in general aren't the reason the POTUS race is a toss up that could go either even though the GOP candidate is the worst POTUS candidate in American history. Trump should be steamrolled but instead he has a 50/50 chance of winning because the Dem Party is hellbent on nominating their unfit, lame duck incumbent. Thanks for nothing, Joe.

He beat trump just fine in 2020 and will do so again.

Anonymous wrote:Another Tuesday, another significant Democratic overperformance in a special election. Tim Kennedy (no relation) won New York’s 26th district yesterday by a massive 36 points, significantly outperforming Biden's 23-point win there.

This goes to show that the Dem Party and their candidates in general aren't the reason the POTUS race is a toss up that could go either even though the GOP candidate is the worst POTUS candidate in American history. Trump should be steamrolled but instead he has a 50/50 chance of winning because the Dem Party is hellbent on nominating their unfit, lame duck incumbent. Thanks for nothing, Joe.

Anonymous wrote:Another Tuesday, another significant Democratic overperformance in a special election. Tim Kennedy (no relation) won New York’s 26th district yesterday by a massive 36 points, significantly outperforming Biden's 23-point win there.

Surprised the margin was not even bigger. what is the GOP offering to anyone? not much.

Another Tuesday, another significant Democratic overperformance in a special election. Tim Kennedy (no relation) won New York’s 26th district yesterday by a massive 36 points, significantly outperforming Biden's 23-point win there.

Anonymous wrote:

oh thank goodness

Anonymous wrote:

Mai Xiong also outperformed Biden by 2 and won every precinct in her district.
https://experience.arcgis.com/experience/9bcb71e8a8b34a2083e00b2c08443366

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Anonymous wrote:Not entirely. Some polls use up to 20 or 30% cell phone lines. But still, considering that the majority of people use cell phones and a minority use land lines, the polling is really inaccurate for likely voters. Many of those who answer land lines will not actually vote in the election. Those that do vote and answer their land lines lean far more conservative than actual demographics of likely voters, so the polling data is extremely skewed.

Fascinating how polls are often pretty accurate. Guess you're just in denial.

RCP is predicting that Bob Casey and Tammy Baldwin are going to lose their seats?

No, that was their projection for 2022. 🤪😆

2024 Predictions from 270toWin

Michigan Democrats Reclaim Full Control of Statehouse With Special Election Wins
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/04/16/us/michigan-democrats-trifecta.html

“Kimberly Dragoo, who pleaded guilty to a misdemeanor in connection with the Jan. 6 attack, lost her race Tuesday for a seat on the St. Joseph Board of Education in Missouri.

Dragoo participated in the riot with her husband, Steven, who photographed the couple throughout the day, including when she went through a broken window into the Capitol, according to court documents. She was one of 10 candidates running for three open seats for a board that oversees 10,000 students and 1,500 staff members, per the district’s website. She came in eighth out of 10 candidates.”
https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-election/several-trump-supporters-involved-jan-6-are-running-office-year-rcna146081

The Nebraska legislature tried to do as Trump asked and change its system of awarding electoral votes so they all would go to the winner of the state, but appears to have failed.

Anonymous wrote:

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Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Not entirely. Some polls use up to 20 or 30% cell phone lines. But still, considering that the majority of people use cell phones and a minority use land lines, the polling is really inaccurate for likely voters. Many of those who answer land lines will not actually vote in the election. Those that do vote and answer their land lines lean far more conservative than actual demographics of likely voters, so the polling data is extremely skewed.

Fascinating how polls are often pretty accurate. Guess you're just in denial.

RCP is predicting that Bob Casey and Tammy Baldwin are going to lose their seats?

All of the Dem incumbent will win. Allred has a decent shot in Texas and even Rick Scott *could* be vulnerable in Florida.

No way Allred wins. Maybe, maybe, D flips FL if the Fl Dem party can get their sh 1T together. And the prochoice campaign needs to tied Scott to the abortion ban.

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Anonymous wrote:Moms for Liberty candidates ran in eight school districts in suburban St. Louis, mostly with two candidates per district. They lost all of them.

Good now MCPS keep Mandel moms4liberty shit off the BOE

Oh no - is she running for real?