Anonymous
06/20/2024 14:09
Subject: Re:Biden’s latest Poll numbers
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:
National polls don’t tell us anything when you get elected by the electoral college aka battleground states. Are we seeing the same changes in the independents in those states?
Interestingly 538 has Biden leading in a new model that splits the difference between battleground state polls (with Trump still leading) and what it terms “fundamentals.” We will see how this new methodology pans out.
Oh, a new model. Yes, yes! I guess the previous one was depressing all the democrats.
Democrats have won or ourperformed every poll that has mattered since 2017.
No one is depressed.
Anonymous
06/20/2024 14:07
Subject: Re:Biden’s latest Poll numbers
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:
National polls don’t tell us anything when you get elected by the electoral college aka battleground states. Are we seeing the same changes in the independents in those states?
Interestingly 538 has Biden leading in a new model that splits the difference between battleground state polls (with Trump still leading) and what it terms “fundamentals.” We will see how this new methodology pans out.
I saw a Newsweek article (so grain of salt this) that had a poll that said one in twenty Trump voters are switching to Biden this time. I didn’t care enough to go looking for the original source and the cross tabs, but if that’s the case, Herr Drumpf is cooked like one of his favorite ketchup-covered steaks.
Needs more push-polling!
You seem oddly distressed by this. Two polls and you had to run and use an emoji in two separate replies; are you insecure? I thought you were certain Trump would win? That’s what you guys always say.
Somebody else is pretty worried too: https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/112649824679207686
Anonymous
06/20/2024 14:05
Subject: Re:Biden’s latest Poll numbers
Anonymous wrote:
National polls don’t tell us anything when you get elected by the electoral college aka battleground states. Are we seeing the same changes in the independents in those states?
Interestingly 538 has Biden leading in a new model that splits the difference between battleground state polls (with Trump still leading) and what it terms “fundamentals.” We will see how this new methodology pans out.
The state polls are also shifting towards Biden over the last few months.
Anonymous
06/20/2024 13:47
Subject: Re:Biden’s latest Poll numbers
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:
National polls don’t tell us anything when you get elected by the electoral college aka battleground states. Are we seeing the same changes in the independents in those states?
Interestingly 538 has Biden leading in a new model that splits the difference between battleground state polls (with Trump still leading) and what it terms “fundamentals.” We will see how this new methodology pans out.
I saw a Newsweek article (so grain of salt this) that had a poll that said one in twenty Trump voters are switching to Biden this time. I didn’t care enough to go looking for the original source and the cross tabs, but if that’s the case, Herr Drumpf is cooked like one of his favorite ketchup-covered steaks.
Needs more push-polling!
You seem oddly distressed by this. Two polls and you had to run and use an emoji in two separate replies; are you insecure? I thought you were certain Trump would win? That’s what you guys always say.
Anonymous
06/20/2024 13:31
Subject: Re:Biden’s latest Poll numbers
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:
National polls don’t tell us anything when you get elected by the electoral college aka battleground states. Are we seeing the same changes in the independents in those states?
Interestingly 538 has Biden leading in a new model that splits the difference between battleground state polls (with Trump still leading) and what it terms “fundamentals.” We will see how this new methodology pans out.
I saw a Newsweek article (so grain of salt this) that had a poll that said one in twenty Trump voters are switching to Biden this time. I didn’t care enough to go looking for the original source and the cross tabs, but if that’s the case, Herr Drumpf is cooked like one of his favorite ketchup-covered steaks.
Needs more push-polling!
Anonymous
06/20/2024 13:30
Subject: Re:Biden’s latest Poll numbers
Anonymous wrote:
National polls don’t tell us anything when you get elected by the electoral college aka battleground states. Are we seeing the same changes in the independents in those states?
Interestingly 538 has Biden leading in a new model that splits the difference between battleground state polls (with Trump still leading) and what it terms “fundamentals.” We will see how this new methodology pans out.
Oh, a new model. Yes, yes! I guess the previous one was depressing all the democrats.
Anonymous
06/20/2024 13:18
Subject: Re:Biden’s latest Poll numbers
Anonymous wrote:
National polls don’t tell us anything when you get elected by the electoral college aka battleground states. Are we seeing the same changes in the independents in those states?
Interestingly 538 has Biden leading in a new model that splits the difference between battleground state polls (with Trump still leading) and what it terms “fundamentals.” We will see how this new methodology pans out.
I saw a Newsweek article (so grain of salt this) that had a poll that said one in twenty Trump voters are switching to Biden this time. I didn’t care enough to go looking for the original source and the cross tabs, but if that’s the case, Herr Drumpf is cooked like one of his favorite ketchup-covered steaks.
Anonymous
06/20/2024 11:27
Subject: Re:Biden’s latest Poll numbers
National polls don’t tell us anything when you get elected by the electoral college aka battleground states. Are we seeing the same changes in the independents in those states?
Interestingly 538 has Biden leading in a new model that splits the difference between battleground state polls (with Trump still leading) and what it terms “fundamentals.” We will see how this new methodology pans out.
Anonymous
06/20/2024 10:46
Subject: Biden’s latest Poll numbers
Anonymous wrote:Republicans and the media have made so much of Biden's age and mental fragility that the bar is incredibly low for him. All Biden has to do is remain conscious at the first debates to "win."
+2
And the debates are when normal people start paying a little attention.
Anonymous
06/20/2024 09:36
Subject: Biden’s latest Poll numbers
Anonymous wrote:Republicans and the media have made so much of Biden's age and mental fragility that the bar is incredibly low for him. All Biden has to do is remain conscious at the first debates to "win."
Yep, it’s SOTU all over again. People watched it and were like “he didn’t get wheeled in on gurney and wander around asking Mike Johnson who he was like the republicans said he would” and then people said it was a great speech even though it was just a pretty normal speech.
Anonymous
06/20/2024 08:55
Subject: Biden’s latest Poll numbers
Republicans and the media have made so much of Biden's age and mental fragility that the bar is incredibly low for him. All Biden has to do is remain conscious at the first debates to "win."
Anonymous
06/20/2024 08:50
Subject: Re:Biden’s latest Poll numbers
Rug roh. Also “The key is that Independents favor Biden by 9 points, a shift from May when they preferred Trump by 2 points.” But I was told that Trumps felony conviction was going to swing the independents in his favor!
https://www.foxnews.com/official-polls/fox-news-poll-three-point-shift-biden-trump-matchup-since-may
Anonymous
06/20/2024 07:22
Subject: Biden’s latest Poll numbers
If Biden does well on the 27th, assuming the debate even happens, the polling will shift even more in his favor.
And the elected GOP who continue to support Trump will be at risk with their own seats.
And the elected GOP who continue to support Trump will be at risk with their own seats.