Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Remember that polls usually rebalance for presumed Party affiliation, assuming sampling bias.

When people fleed the Democratic Party during Biden's collapse, pollsters didn't count them. Same is probably happening now for Republican polling as Trump stumbles from embarrassment to embarrassment, crime to crime, and horror to horror.

The implication of this is? That polling is too high or too low?

Approval is overestimated. Republicans are overweighted because players over estimate the real number of people who are are still Republicans in Jun 2025.

81% of those polled said Trump should obey court orders.

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/supreme-court/poll-americans-overwhelmingly-want-trump-obey-court-rulings-maga-repub-rcna212783

Anonymous wrote:Remember that polls usually rebalance for presumed Party affiliation, assuming sampling bias.

When people fleed the Democratic Party during Biden's collapse, pollsters didn't count them. Same is probably happening now for Republican polling as Trump stumbles from embarrassment to embarrassment, crime to crime, and horror to horror.

The implication of this is? That polling is too high or too low?

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

“it’s the economy stupid”. And we are only starting to see the beginning of damage done. I’m not sure he can survive 3.5 years of only 1/3 of America approving of him on the economy.

And no matter how bad his first term hot, he was ALWAYS above water on the economy and immigration. 60% disapprove before the end of his first 6 months? Wow.

Maybe he needs to fire his sadistic-but-competent advisors like Stephen Miller and Russ Vought.

Last time, he was full of bluster and nonsense and people loved the rhetoric. This time he is actually doing things thanks to the sociopaths in charge.

Remember that polls usually rebalance for presumed Party affiliation, assuming sampling bias.

When people fleed the Democratic Party during Biden's collapse, pollsters didn't count them. Same is probably happening now for Republican polling as Trump stumbles from embarrassment to embarrassment, crime to crime, and horror to horror.

The more Americans get to know Donald Trump, the ore thrty hate him

https://www.documentcloud...5-topline/

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling his job as president?

June
5/30-6/10
Strongly approve. 23
Somewhat approve. 22
Somewhat disapprove 15
Strongly disapprove. 40


There's always a 25% blindly loyal contingent.

An openly KKK Republican ran for Congress and the Republican Party endorsed his Democratic opponent. The guy still got 25% of the vote.

Lookig forward to polls started after the ICE brownshirt occupation started.

I do not understand - can someone help me understand - why trumps personality overall is not a dealbreaker for more people? Just look at what he said about calling Walz. This man is such an enormous d***. Yes the economy and the totalitarianism and Israel are all awful but he has been awful for a long time with regard to his very being. Why does anyone tolerate him? I could never say or do the things he says and does at work, I would be fired

Anonymous wrote:

No one should be surprised. He’s using the military against Americans exercising their first amendment rights, sending the economy into recession with his dumb tariffs, trying to take away healthcare for millions, wasting millions in taxpayer money on his own birthday, wars are breaking out, and his administration is stacked with incompetent and corrupt buffoons. The American people hate this regime.

Anonymous wrote:

Yeah. And ICE’s racial profiling is resulting in more and more Americans who look Hispanic being “detained” with force. The GOP in congress may not be able to ignore it all much longer.

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:What was Trump’s approval rating at the end of his first term? How easily people forgot that chaos.

Mid 30% range. Even lower than Biden's at the end of his term.

But IIRC he was above water— barely on immigration. And not this low on the economy, despite COVID.

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Latest Quinnipiac poll has Trump at 38% approval.

https://thehill.com/homenews/administration/5346550-trump-job-approval-drops-survey/

But 2/3 republicans still approve of him.

Sure. But the independent numbers are with 10 points of the democrats numbers, almost across the board. They can’t keep the House with 2/3 of republicans, below 20% of Dems and be,ow 30% of Is. And after Ernst gave us the great “No Medicare, we all going to die anyway” quote, her seat plus NC, which is gerrymandered, but has a D Governor and Tillis’s seat in play may flip too. If Fetterman wasn't pouting about being asked to, you know, attend votes. And getting ready t switch parties, I’d say they might pull off a Senate flip too. Thomas may want to retire now…

Anonymous wrote:

“it’s the economy stupid”. And we are only starting to see the beginning of damage done. I’m not sure he can survive 3.5 years of only 1/3 of America approving of him on the economy.

And no matter how bad his first term hot, he was ALWAYS above water on the economy and immigration. 60% disapprove before the end of his first 6 months? Wow.

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:For those that have a NYT's subscription and are into polls, the NYT has a poll tracker that they update daily. It aggregates the results across polls. Today, June 12, Trump is at an average of 52% disapproval/44% approval. His disapproval numbers in the two most recent polls have risen sharply (AP-NORCE +21 and Quinnipiac +16).

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/polls/donald-trump-approval-rating-polls.html

It is still SHOCKING that 44 % approve.

Lol... Biden had an average approval rating over 50% in June of 2021 and ended up below 40% by 2024. Give it time. We know how quick Americans are to turn on elderly unfit presidents. Trump will lose all swing voter support soon enough and he's guaranteed to be below 40% by 2028 which means the GOP nominee will have no chance in the 2028. We've all been here and done this before. Act like it.

+1. I bet it goes below 40% in the next week or two. Especially if he bows to Israel’s demand that we go to was with Iran.