Anonymous
07/21/2020 08:35
Subject: Re:Gov Hogan announcement re schools this week?
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:None of Maryland’s numbers are increasing (positivity rate, hospitalizations, deaths), not declining as rapid,u as before, bu to de you get below 5 percent, that is inevitable.
Maryland's new cases per day are very much increasing.
Deaths lag by about 4 weeks. Our death rates will rise, and hospitalization rates will rise sooner.
Are you slow about everything or just feign stupidity with respect to covid? After four months of this, you must realize that the number of positive cases is meaningless because it is dependent on how many tests are given. The number that is relevant is percent of tests positive.
Somebody is wrong on the internet!
Until we get to a pervasive testing regime, the percent positive absolutely is a function of the number of tests because you are sampling on the dependent variable.
The number of positive tests is dependent on how many positives cases are in the community. If the spread rate is 10% then 10% of tests is positive no mater whether you do 50 tests a day or 500.
Anonymous
07/21/2020 08:24
Subject: Gov Hogan announcement re schools this week?
Any update on when this announcement is happening?
Anonymous
07/21/2020 08:18
Subject: Gov Hogan announcement re schools this week?
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:So when is this announcement supposed to take place? The one by Hogan. Not the one about NY murder rates.
Wednesday
Well, if Hogan isn’t closing bars or gyms, but isn’t opening schools, he’ll lose a lot of the good will he has built over the past few months.
+1000
Anonymous
07/21/2020 06:21
Subject: Gov Hogan announcement re schools this week?
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:I suspect DL for all public schools. The million dollar question is - will he allow privates to open???? Or will we see a repeat of what happened in CA and Wisconsin?
Again, putting high risk businesses ahead of schools is going to have a negative affect on his approval rating. There is no reason Maryland shouldn’t be on a position to open schools in person when other northeastern states are doing so.
Which other northeastern states have announced that there will be school?
Anonymous
07/20/2020 23:41
Subject: Gov Hogan announcement re schools this week?
Anonymous wrote:I suspect DL for all public schools. The million dollar question is - will he allow privates to open???? Or will we see a repeat of what happened in CA and Wisconsin?
Again, putting high risk businesses ahead of schools is going to have a negative affect on his approval rating. There is no reason Maryland shouldn’t be on a position to open schools in person when other northeastern states are doing so.
Anonymous
07/20/2020 23:31
Subject: Re:Gov Hogan announcement re schools this week?
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:None of Maryland’s numbers are increasing (positivity rate, hospitalizations, deaths), not declining as rapid,u as before, bu to de you get below 5 percent, that is inevitable.
Maryland's new cases per day are very much increasing.
Deaths lag by about 4 weeks. Our death rates will rise, and hospitalization rates will rise sooner.
Are you slow about everything or just feign stupidity with respect to covid? After four months of this, you must realize that the number of positive cases is meaningless because it is dependent on how many tests are given. The number that is relevant is percent of tests positive.
Somebody is wrong on the internet!
Until we get to a pervasive testing regime, the percent positive absolutely is a function of the number of tests because you are sampling on the dependent variable.
Anonymous
07/20/2020 23:23
Subject: Gov Hogan announcement re schools this week?
I suspect DL for all public schools. The million dollar question is - will he allow privates to open???? Or will we see a repeat of what happened in CA and Wisconsin?
Anonymous
07/20/2020 23:20
Subject: Gov Hogan announcement re schools this week?
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:So when is this announcement supposed to take place? The one by Hogan. Not the one about NY murder rates.
Wednesday
Well, if Hogan isn’t closing bars or gyms, but isn’t opening schools, he’ll lose a lot of the good will he has built over the past few months.
Anonymous
07/20/2020 22:45
Subject: Gov Hogan announcement re schools this week?
Anonymous wrote:So when is this announcement supposed to take place? The one by Hogan. Not the one about NY murder rates.
Wednesday
Anonymous
07/20/2020 22:43
Subject: Re:Gov Hogan announcement re schools this week?
Anonymous wrote:I agree that counties have different conditions.
Yesterday I looked up the new cases for each county. It was just one day not a 7 day average (I wish we had these kinds of statistics available as well as positivity rate but right now no one is posting new cases per million per day by county.
Anyhow, it was suprising how high the new cases per million per day were for some counties!
(For comparison purposes, Italy is at THREE new cases per million per day and FLorida is at 552 new cases per million per day)
Worcester: 17/52,000= 326 new cases per million per day
Baltimore City 143/620,000 = 230 new cases per million per day
Howard County 57 / 325,000 = 175 new cases per million per day.
Baltimore County 141/827,000 = 170 new cases per million per day
AA County = 89/580,000= 153 new cases per million per day
Frederick County 40/260,000. 153 new cases per million per day.
PG County 123/909,000 = 135 new cases per million per day
Harford County 29 / 255,000 = 113 new cases per million per day
Garrett County 3/30,000 = 100 new cases per million per day
St Mary's County 11 / 113,000 = 98 new cases per million per day.
MoCo = 89 new cases per million per day
Harvard’s global health department has a great website with 7 day avgs case counts indexed to population by county. No need to do these calcs on the back of an envelope with raw data. https://globalepidemics.org/key-metrics-for-covid-suppression/
Anonymous
07/20/2020 19:42
Subject: Gov Hogan announcement re schools this week?
Anonymous wrote:So when is this announcement supposed to take place? The one by Hogan. Not the one about NY murder rates.
It turns out that talking about New York City murder rates instead of coronavirus is a White House strategy.
Anonymous
07/20/2020 15:44
Subject: Re:Gov Hogan announcement re schools this week?
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:
What are you talking about? NYC is a war zone.
What are you talking about? Really? What on earth?
“Health and well being are more than the virus”
People are being gunned down in the streets. Including a one year old. Not health and well being in NYC.
The murder rate in New York City is still at historic lows, not to mention the total irrelevance of the murder rate to NYC's decisions about schools with respect to coronavirus.
It matters if you are talking about well-being as a component of health.
NYC is headed for some major issues.
This thread is about schools and coronavirus. Find a different thread to post on.
Someone way up thread brought up NYC.
If that bugs you, you can report every single post on this board that brings up different areas - Israel, NYC, Texas, Italy, etc. People post links and bring up stats from all over the world.
Anonymous
07/20/2020 15:10
Subject: Gov Hogan announcement re schools this week?
So when is this announcement supposed to take place? The one by Hogan. Not the one about NY murder rates.
Anonymous
07/20/2020 11:53
Subject: Re:Gov Hogan announcement re schools this week?
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:
What are you talking about? NYC is a war zone.
What are you talking about? Really? What on earth?
“Health and well being are more than the virus”
People are being gunned down in the streets. Including a one year old. Not health and well being in NYC.
The murder rate in New York City is still at historic lows, not to mention the total irrelevance of the murder rate to NYC's decisions about schools with respect to coronavirus.
It matters if you are talking about well-being as a component of health.
NYC is headed for some major issues.
This thread is about schools and coronavirus. Find a different thread to post on.
Anonymous
07/20/2020 11:53
Subject: Re:Gov Hogan announcement re schools this week?
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:
What are you talking about? NYC is a war zone.
What are you talking about? Really? What on earth?
“Health and well being are more than the virus”
People are being gunned down in the streets. Including a one year old. Not health and well being in NYC.
The murder rate in New York City is still at historic lows, not to mention the total irrelevance of the murder rate to NYC's decisions about schools with respect to coronavirus.
And really, it’s all the more reason to get kids off the streets and back in school!