Anonymous
11/14/2019 18:38
Subject: Polls and Lols: A 2020 Master Thread
New Muhlenberg College poll of Pennsylvania voters finds Trump trailing...
Biden 52% Trump 43%
Sanders 50% Trump 45%
Warren 50% Trump 45%
Trump job approval/disapproval: 40/56%
Support/oppose inquiry: 51/47%
Support/oppose removal: 49/48%
Biden 52% Trump 43%
Sanders 50% Trump 45%
Warren 50% Trump 45%
Trump job approval/disapproval: 40/56%
Support/oppose inquiry: 51/47%
Support/oppose removal: 49/48%
Anonymous
11/14/2019 18:24
Subject: Polls and Lols: A 2020 Master Thread
NEW FOX NEWS POLL - Nevada
Biden 24%
Sanders 18%
Warren 18%
Buttigieg 8%
Steyer 5%
Harris 4%
Yang 3%
Biden 24%
Sanders 18%
Warren 18%
Buttigieg 8%
Steyer 5%
Harris 4%
Yang 3%
Anonymous
11/14/2019 10:36
Subject: Polls and Lols: A 2020 Master Thread
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Holy shit, Pete. I guess as Iowans get to know him, they like what they see.
My ILs -- extended family (lots and lots of them) all live across Iowa. They are all-in for Pete. Two of them are even knocking on doors for him.
Listen to him talk. He's inspiring.
I'm from Indiana. I've liked him since he ran for Treasurer in 2010. That run was doomed from the start for a number of reasons, but young as he is, he was impressive even at 28.
Anonymous
11/14/2019 09:49
Subject: Polls and Lols: A 2020 Master Thread
Anonymous wrote:Holy shit, Pete. I guess as Iowans get to know him, they like what they see.
My ILs -- extended family (lots and lots of them) all live across Iowa. They are all-in for Pete. Two of them are even knocking on doors for him.
Listen to him talk. He's inspiring.
Anonymous
11/14/2019 09:41
Subject: Polls and Lols: A 2020 Master Thread
Anonymous wrote:Georgia appears to be competitive:
Georgia: Trump vs. Biden Atlanta Journal-Constitution Biden 51, Trump 43 Biden +8
Georgia: Trump vs. Warren Atlanta Journal-Constitution Warren 47, Trump 44 Warren +3
Georgia: Trump vs. Sanders Atlanta Journal-Constitution Sanders 48, Trump 44 Sanders +4
Georgia: Trump vs. Buttigieg Atlanta Journal-Constitution Buttigieg 46, Trump 43 Buttigieg +3
Georgia: Trump vs. Harris Atlanta Journal-Constitution Harris 45, Trump 44 Harris +1
https://www.ajc.com/news/state--regional-govt--politics/ajc-poll-trump-faces-tough-election-fight-georgia/gqTRms8eLIL1TEFW2r8pKN/
Caveat: Election Twitter hates this poll because it oversampled college graduates.
Anonymous
11/14/2019 09:08
Subject: Polls and Lols: A 2020 Master Thread
Georgia appears to be competitive:
https://www.ajc.com/news/state--regional-govt--politics/ajc-poll-trump-faces-tough-election-fight-georgia/gqTRms8eLIL1TEFW2r8pKN/
Georgia: Trump vs. Biden Atlanta Journal-Constitution Biden 51, Trump 43 Biden +8
Georgia: Trump vs. Warren Atlanta Journal-Constitution Warren 47, Trump 44 Warren +3
Georgia: Trump vs. Sanders Atlanta Journal-Constitution Sanders 48, Trump 44 Sanders +4
Georgia: Trump vs. Buttigieg Atlanta Journal-Constitution Buttigieg 46, Trump 43 Buttigieg +3
Georgia: Trump vs. Harris Atlanta Journal-Constitution Harris 45, Trump 44 Harris +1
https://www.ajc.com/news/state--regional-govt--politics/ajc-poll-trump-faces-tough-election-fight-georgia/gqTRms8eLIL1TEFW2r8pKN/
Anonymous
11/13/2019 18:24
Subject: Polls and Lols: A 2020 Master Thread
Anonymous wrote:New Monmouth poll of Iowa, trend since August:
Buttigieg: 22% (+14)
Biden: 19% (-7)
Warren: 18% (-2)
Sanders: 13% (+5)
Klobuchar: 5% (+2)
Harris: 3% (-9)
Steyer: 3% (-)
Yang: 3% (+2)
Booker: 2% (+1)
Gabbard: 2% (+1)
Bullock: 1% (-)
Castro: 1% (+1)
Klobuchar closer to December debate
Interesting. Wasn't expecting to see Buttigieg ahead of Warren...
Anonymous
11/12/2019 14:37
Subject: Polls and Lols: A 2020 Master Thread
Holy shit, Pete. I guess as Iowans get to know him, they like what they see.
Anonymous
11/12/2019 14:12
Subject: Polls and Lols: A 2020 Master Thread
New Monmouth poll of Iowa, trend since August:
Buttigieg: 22% (+14)
Biden: 19% (-7)
Warren: 18% (-2)
Sanders: 13% (+5)
Klobuchar: 5% (+2)
Harris: 3% (-9)
Steyer: 3% (-)
Yang: 3% (+2)
Booker: 2% (+1)
Gabbard: 2% (+1)
Bullock: 1% (-)
Castro: 1% (+1)
Klobuchar closer to December debate
Buttigieg: 22% (+14)
Biden: 19% (-7)
Warren: 18% (-2)
Sanders: 13% (+5)
Klobuchar: 5% (+2)
Harris: 3% (-9)
Steyer: 3% (-)
Yang: 3% (+2)
Booker: 2% (+1)
Gabbard: 2% (+1)
Bullock: 1% (-)
Castro: 1% (+1)
Klobuchar closer to December debate
Anonymous
11/11/2019 17:26
Subject: Polls and Lols: A 2020 Master Thread
New Quinnipiac New Hampshire poll has Biden ahead over Warren and Sanders.
https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/469924-new-quinnipiac-poll-finds-biden-leading-in-new-hampshire?amp&__twitter_impression=true
https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/469924-new-quinnipiac-poll-finds-biden-leading-in-new-hampshire?amp&__twitter_impression=true
Anonymous
11/07/2019 09:26
Subject: Polls and Lols: A 2020 Master Thread
https://twitter.com/daveweigel/status/1192448006139891712
Current RCP averages vs Trump:
Biden: +10.2
Sanders: +7.9
Warren: +7.3
RCP margin for Clinton on this day in 2015: +2.2
Anonymous
11/05/2019 10:29
Subject: Polls and Lols: A 2020 Master Thread
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:pleasepleasepleasepleaseplease be accurate, polls
on RCP today:
General Election: Trump vs. Biden ABC News/Wash Post Biden 56, Trump 39 Biden +17
General Election: Trump vs. Warren ABC News/Wash Post Warren 55, Trump 40 Warren +15
General Election: Trump vs. Sanders ABC News/Wash Post Sanders 55, Trump 41 Sanders +14
General Election: Trump vs. Buttigieg ABC News/Wash Post Buttigieg 52, Trump 41 Buttigieg +11
General Election: Trump vs. Harris ABC News/Wash Post Harris 51, Trump 42 Harris +9
We're 12 months away. It's possible that Trump will lose by 5 million votes and still carry the EC.
It's fine to feel hopeful. Anything more than that is foolish.
+1
Pick a state (esp Penna, Florida, Wisco, Michigan, Texas, North Carolina etc) and adopt the local Democratic Party and a candidate or two. Give heavily.
Anonymous
11/05/2019 09:45
Subject: Re:Polls and Lols: A 2020 Master Thread
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:270toWin map based on The NY Times/Siena Poll of Biden vs. Trump that came out this morning:
As hopeful as I try to be, I would make sure we have a route to 270 that does not depend on Florida. I live in Florida - I think it's almost purple but still red in the end here.
312 - 29 = More than 270
Anonymous
11/05/2019 09:44
Subject: Polls and Lols: A 2020 Master Thread
Anonymous wrote:pleasepleasepleasepleaseplease be accurate, polls
on RCP today:
General Election: Trump vs. Biden ABC News/Wash Post Biden 56, Trump 39 Biden +17
General Election: Trump vs. Warren ABC News/Wash Post Warren 55, Trump 40 Warren +15
General Election: Trump vs. Sanders ABC News/Wash Post Sanders 55, Trump 41 Sanders +14
General Election: Trump vs. Buttigieg ABC News/Wash Post Buttigieg 52, Trump 41 Buttigieg +11
General Election: Trump vs. Harris ABC News/Wash Post Harris 51, Trump 42 Harris +9
We're 12 months away. It's possible that Trump will lose by 5 million votes and still carry the EC.
It's fine to feel hopeful. Anything more than that is foolish.
Anonymous
11/05/2019 09:38
Subject: Polls and Lols: A 2020 Master Thread
pleasepleasepleasepleaseplease be accurate, polls
on RCP today:
on RCP today:
General Election: Trump vs. Biden ABC News/Wash Post Biden 56, Trump 39 Biden +17
General Election: Trump vs. Warren ABC News/Wash Post Warren 55, Trump 40 Warren +15
General Election: Trump vs. Sanders ABC News/Wash Post Sanders 55, Trump 41 Sanders +14
General Election: Trump vs. Buttigieg ABC News/Wash Post Buttigieg 52, Trump 41 Buttigieg +11
General Election: Trump vs. Harris ABC News/Wash Post Harris 51, Trump 42 Harris +9