Anonymous
Post 04/15/2021 19:00     Subject: My predcition and analysis: a Red Wave in Maryland in 2022. (Long post)

Was this written by an MD GOP high school intern?
Anonymous
Post 04/15/2021 16:08     Subject: My predcition and analysis: a Red Wave in Maryland in 2022. (Long post)

^ 16:06 again. Not that I approve in any way of the "woke-iest", most trendy, left-wing policies... but to say that people will flock to the right is ridiculous.

People will stay center-left, as they have always been.
Anonymous
Post 04/15/2021 16:06     Subject: My predcition and analysis: a Red Wave in Maryland in 2022. (Long post)



No. I disagree that Republicans of any stripe are popular in Maryland. And I don't believe Hogan will come of the pandemic as popular as he went in. He had an approval bump early on, but lost it this year.






Anonymous
Post 04/15/2021 15:57     Subject: My predcition and analysis: a Red Wave in Maryland in 2022. (Long post)

TLDR I don't think Marylanders in the most populous counties in the state will look back fondly on the Purple Line debacle or the vaccine roll-out.
Anonymous
Post 04/15/2021 14:45     Subject: Re:My predcition and analysis: a Red Wave in Maryland in 2022. (Long post)

Anonymous wrote:From your fingertips to God's ears. It would take a miracle to get me to stay here, but even a small red wave would help. To those who don't lik the overuse of "woke," wake up!


It's lazy writing, and that makes for lazy analysis.
Anonymous
Post 04/15/2021 14:42     Subject: My predcition and analysis: a Red Wave in Maryland in 2022. (Long post)

Your definition of a red wave and a "decisive[] rightward turn" in state politics is the Democrats losing the *supermajority* in the state legislature? OK.
Anonymous
Post 04/15/2021 14:36     Subject: Re:My predcition and analysis: a Red Wave in Maryland in 2022. (Long post)

From your lips to God’s ears.
Anonymous
Post 04/15/2021 14:30     Subject: Re:My predcition and analysis: a Red Wave in Maryland in 2022. (Long post)

From your fingertips to God's ears. It would take a miracle to get me to stay here, but even a small red wave would help. To those who don't lik the overuse of "woke," wake up!
Anonymous
Post 04/15/2021 14:28     Subject: My predcition and analysis: a Red Wave in Maryland in 2022. (Long post)

Ha ha ha lol
Anonymous
Post 04/15/2021 13:59     Subject: My predcition and analysis: a Red Wave in Maryland in 2022. (Long post)

Nahhhhhhhh
Anonymous
Post 04/15/2021 13:56     Subject: My predcition and analysis: a Red Wave in Maryland in 2022. (Long post)

Anonymous wrote:This was too long and I certainly did not read. However as I scrolled down I see that you think Van Hollen will lose his senate seat, which tells me that you really know little to nothing about state politics.


Exactly — it was all optimism but tethered to some version of reality until you got there (well that and I’ve seen no evidence Hogan is popular in the Black community)
Anonymous
Post 04/15/2021 13:56     Subject: My predcition and analysis: a Red Wave in Maryland in 2022. (Long post)

This is certainly your Republican hope and dream, but I do not think this outcome is very likely. Sure, many MD Dems are more moderate than they seem, but just like other states, we have a rising young population and they are reliably more left than their parents.
Anonymous
Post 04/15/2021 13:53     Subject: My predcition and analysis: a Red Wave in Maryland in 2022. (Long post)

This was too long and I certainly did not read. However as I scrolled down I see that you think Van Hollen will lose his senate seat, which tells me that you really know little to nothing about state politics.
Anonymous
Post 04/15/2021 13:20     Subject: My predcition and analysis: a Red Wave in Maryland in 2022. (Long post)

569 words, including 5 uses (0.8%) of "woke".

I think I'll look for my reliable political analysis elsewhere.
Anonymous
Post 04/15/2021 13:14     Subject: My predcition and analysis: a Red Wave in Maryland in 2022. (Long post)

My gut says that the insufferable wokesters in Takoma Park and Silver Spring will be in for a rude awakening next year as the state makes a decisively rightward turn in electoral politics.

First, the governors race. Despite criticisms coming from Montgomery County over Hogan's handling of the pandemic and vaccine distribution, Hogan's popularity is sky high and especially among people of color. I think people will wake up to the fact that moderate Republican governors are better than leftist candidates, and if the Democrats nominate anyone other than Franchot, then the Republicans will win with someone like Kelly Schulz. She will be seen as a fiscally conservative Republican and Hogan has shown people that Republican governors and bipartisan balance are not so bad.

Second, the state legislature. I think the Democrats will lose the supermajority. The woke left will primary some of the conservative DEmocrats with woke leftists and they will lose to Republicans. People in Silver Spring just don't realize that Harford County is conservative and that Mary Ann Lisanti is the best they will ever get.

Third, Republicans are putting up formidable candidates in other statewide races. Don't sleep on Barry Glassman for Comptroller. He could easily win.

Fourth, county races. Baltimore County's Johnny O barely won last time and he has firmly placed himself on the left. He is at risk. So is Pittman, who is an Elrich ally and too far left for Anne Arundel county.

Montgomery County will never elect a Republican, but they will elect David Blair, who has more support from Republicans and Independents than he does from leftist Democrats, and is running on a pro-police, lower-taxes platform. The Left will be divided between Elrich and Riemer. Riemer will run nominally to the left of Elrich, attacking Elrich for NIMBY housing policies and throwing lip service to the Defund the Police crowd, which is easy to do when you're a legislator and not an executive. But Elrich will hold on to the labor union and old timer hippie vote, so they will split and Blair will walk away with it easily. Elrich will probably come in third and that will cause some real introspection in the county's true believer leftists.

Fifth, Chris Van Hollen may lose his Senate Seat if 2022 really does end up being a Red Wave year. Especially if Hogan changes his mind and runs, or endorses a prominent Hogan-like candidate.

Maryland is undergoing a self realization that it is actually a pretty conservative, status-quo state. Candidates like Joe Biden win easily over Trump Republicans, but if the 2020 presidential election were between Mitt Romney and Bernie Sanders I could see MD going for Romney. Maryland hasn't even legalized pot yet, and Virginia has. MD hasn't even come close. Most of Maryland's longest serving Democrats were mainstream Democrats in 1995 and havent' shifted ideologically since, whereas similar Democrats in other states have become Republicans. I think this time around, more Maryland voters will realize that they area actually Republicans.

A lot of people assume Maryland is a Blue State and dismiss MD GOP as a ragtag group of hillbillies in Western MD and rednecs on the Eastern Shore. But this state culturally is really not the woke activist culture of TP/SS. The crab-loving, Natty Boh-drinking Maryland culture is actually much closer to Hogan than anyone like Marc Elrich or the D20 Racial Equity and Social Justice Woke delegation.