Anonymous wrote:Yes, very curious to see if they see a resurgence in NYC, for example. If not, herd immunity might be closer than we think.

Are you nuts? Herd immunity in a population of 330 million with 'only' 7 million infected? Even Sweden hasn't and won't achieve immunity and they only have 10 million citizens.

I live in GA and just found out our school is reopning for my daughter's grade a week before thanksgiving. then we have a week off during thanksgiving. Then she has 2 weeks in school and then a THREE WEEEK christmas, even though we started school 2 weeks later than normal and she basically is not getting any academic instruction on wednesdays at all (we call the "wellness wednesdays' but its really just hte day when all the teachers are in meetings all day).

So, not only is this year a joke in terms of schooling (she is repeating what she learned in 1st grade in our former school in the northeast) but the idea of bringing kid in, then sending them on multi week vacations, with travel and family events during flu season, and then having them all come back together....ugh. Plus every clas quarantines if a kid is sick, so basically we will be thrust back to digital. And my workplace just annoucned that we are all back full itme once school is back full time with no concessions so if my kid has to quarantine or is sick I dont know what I'll do.


I would much prefer that they just start AFTER the new year and AFTER every student is tested.

Anonymous wrote:Yes, winter is going to be a COVID sh*tshow.

https://www.theatlantic.com/health/archive/2020/09/how-america-can-survive-the-winter/616401/
“A lot of what we’re expecting about what might happen this winter comes from previous pandemics,” says Stephen Kissler, a research fellow at the Harvard School of Public Health. Flu pandemics tend to travel in waves, and often the first fall and winter waves are the worst. There are striking similarities so far between the current pandemic and the 2009 influenza pandemic, Kissler told me. “There was patchy transmission in the spring, in New York City and some other places, but then there was a unified wave that hit the entire country. It started right around now, the beginning of September.”

There was a big wave this summer, or does that not count?

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Yes, winter is going to be a COVID sh*tshow.

https://www.theatlantic.com/health/archive/2020/09/how-america-can-survive-the-winter/616401/
“A lot of what we’re expecting about what might happen this winter comes from previous pandemics,” says Stephen Kissler, a research fellow at the Harvard School of Public Health. Flu pandemics tend to travel in waves, and often the first fall and winter waves are the worst. There are striking similarities so far between the current pandemic and the 2009 influenza pandemic, Kissler told me. “There was patchy transmission in the spring, in New York City and some other places, but then there was a unified wave that hit the entire country. It started right around now, the beginning of September.”

So, now it’s the flu? Give me a break. The 2009 flu? The swine flu where we were all supposed to die?

You have serious reading comprehension problems.

I suspect that's not her ONLY problem.

Precisely

Yes, very curious to see if they see a resurgence in NYC, for example. If not, herd immunity might be closer than we think.

Anonymous wrote:Maybe... but also maybe not. There aren’t any cities that were hit hard that have shown a resurgence when things reopen. Generally the pattern has been for Covid-19 to spread rapidly, peak, and then taper off no matter what restrictions are imposed. We will see. Hope for the best and plan for the worst.

I think all the experts disagree with your "maybe not" part.

Maybe... but also maybe not. There aren’t any cities that were hit hard that have shown a resurgence when things reopen. Generally the pattern has been for Covid-19 to spread rapidly, peak, and then taper off no matter what restrictions are imposed. We will see. Hope for the best and plan for the worst.

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Yes, winter is going to be a COVID sh*tshow.

https://www.theatlantic.com/health/archive/2020/09/how-america-can-survive-the-winter/616401/
“A lot of what we’re expecting about what might happen this winter comes from previous pandemics,” says Stephen Kissler, a research fellow at the Harvard School of Public Health. Flu pandemics tend to travel in waves, and often the first fall and winter waves are the worst. There are striking similarities so far between the current pandemic and the 2009 influenza pandemic, Kissler told me. “There was patchy transmission in the spring, in New York City and some other places, but then there was a unified wave that hit the entire country. It started right around now, the beginning of September.”

So, now it’s the flu? Give me a break. The 2009 flu? The swine flu where we were all supposed to die?

You have serious reading comprehension problems.

I suspect that's not her ONLY problem.

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Yes, winter is going to be a COVID sh*tshow.

https://www.theatlantic.com/health/archive/2020/09/how-america-can-survive-the-winter/616401/
“A lot of what we’re expecting about what might happen this winter comes from previous pandemics,” says Stephen Kissler, a research fellow at the Harvard School of Public Health. Flu pandemics tend to travel in waves, and often the first fall and winter waves are the worst. There are striking similarities so far between the current pandemic and the 2009 influenza pandemic, Kissler told me. “There was patchy transmission in the spring, in New York City and some other places, but then there was a unified wave that hit the entire country. It started right around now, the beginning of September.”

So, now it’s the flu? Give me a break. The 2009 flu? The swine flu where we were all supposed to die?

Get a f***n epidemiology degree and then come back

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Yes, winter is going to be a COVID sh*tshow.

https://www.theatlantic.com/health/archive/2020/09/how-america-can-survive-the-winter/616401/
“A lot of what we’re expecting about what might happen this winter comes from previous pandemics,” says Stephen Kissler, a research fellow at the Harvard School of Public Health. Flu pandemics tend to travel in waves, and often the first fall and winter waves are the worst. There are striking similarities so far between the current pandemic and the 2009 influenza pandemic, Kissler told me. “There was patchy transmission in the spring, in New York City and some other places, but then there was a unified wave that hit the entire country. It started right around now, the beginning of September.”

So, now it’s the flu? Give me a break. The 2009 flu? The swine flu where we were all supposed to die?

You have serious reading comprehension problems.

Anonymous wrote:Yes, winter is going to be a COVID sh*tshow.

https://www.theatlantic.com/health/archive/2020/09/how-america-can-survive-the-winter/616401/
“A lot of what we’re expecting about what might happen this winter comes from previous pandemics,” says Stephen Kissler, a research fellow at the Harvard School of Public Health. Flu pandemics tend to travel in waves, and often the first fall and winter waves are the worst. There are striking similarities so far between the current pandemic and the 2009 influenza pandemic, Kissler told me. “There was patchy transmission in the spring, in New York City and some other places, but then there was a unified wave that hit the entire country. It started right around now, the beginning of September.”

So, now it’s the flu? Give me a break. The 2009 flu? The swine flu where we were all supposed to die?

Yes, winter is going to be a COVID sh*tshow.

https://www.theatlantic.com/health/archive/2020/09/how-america-can-survive-the-winter/616401/
“A lot of what we’re expecting about what might happen this winter comes from previous pandemics,” says Stephen Kissler, a research fellow at the Harvard School of Public Health. Flu pandemics tend to travel in waves, and often the first fall and winter waves are the worst. There are striking similarities so far between the current pandemic and the 2009 influenza pandemic, Kissler told me. “There was patchy transmission in the spring, in New York City and some other places, but then there was a unified wave that hit the entire country. It started right around now, the beginning of September.”

Not only a COVID sh*t show but I am guessing there will be tons of depression and alcoholism for people cooped up inside.

Which is precisely why parents thinking schools will re-open in October are nuts. We were 'lucky' Covid-19 hit us hard in March/April as the weather warmed up. Its proven that the airborne particles last longer in colder temperatures and guess whats coming? On top of that kids won't be playing outside - so parents will be having playgroups indoors. Family gatherings indoors.

At least now outdoor socializing, for those who feel inclined to socialize, provides SOME mitigation. But when we get to a point where people have to take their socializing into the house, I fear it’s going to go downhill quickly. Not to mention, family holiday gatherings and people traveling around the country. It’s gonna be bad, folks...