Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:Ugh. I hope Elrich acts more cautiously. MoCo is a hotspot.
Serious question: what would it take to *not* look like a hotspot in your eyes?
I’ll tell you! Let’s look at the dashboard Elrich and Gayles have set up to track the reopening metrics. As of today, here’s where we are:
All of these metrics have shown declines 14 out of the last 14 days:
- COVID hospitalizations
- COVID ER patients
- COVID ICU admissions
- ICU utilization rate
- Ventilator use
- Test positivity
The last one is really important because, while cases have declined for 8 out of the last 14 days, positivity rate has declined for all 14 days, meaning increases in cases are due to more testing, not further spread of the disease.
Acute Care bed utilization declined 2 out of the last 14 days, but the 3-day rolling average is 71%. The benchmark Gayles wants to see is 70%, so we are exceptionally close to that.
We have the capacity to test 3.2% of the population, above the CDC guideline of 2%. Gayles wants us to be able to test 5%, but hasn’t justified why we need to exceed the CDC’s guidelines.
So there’s your answer. Every single metric that shows burden of the disease on hospitals and spread of the disease is positive. Our testing capacity is strong. The contact tracing operation Hogan set up can handle 1,000 cases a day, above what Maryland has been doing, so it’s sufficient (and is continuing to be expanded).
Now, please show me where in the data suggests that MoCo is a hotspot that can’t be reopened.