Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:They will reopen when the number of cases and hospitalizations go down.

These numbers will not go down. They will continue to go up. You can’t look at it that way. Look for the percentage of positives to drop.

If people in the DC metro are waiting for the number of cases to go down we will never start reopening.

Right, especially as we are testing more.

That’s why Hogan’s team of public health experts isn’t focusing on that metric. But I guess Gayles and Elrich know better.

Anonymous wrote:They will reopen when the number of cases and hospitalizations go down.

These numbers will not go down. They will continue to go up. You can’t look at it that way. Look for the percentage of positives to drop.

If people in the DC metro are waiting for the number of cases to go down we will never start reopening.

Anonymous wrote:They will reopen when the number of cases and hospitalizations go down.

Thanks captain obvious. But to leave it completely open ended doesn't really give people anything to hold on to. We have no control over the amount of cases In moco even when we are following the rules. And what if in 3 months the cases still haven't gone down? We will just the only county or maybe one of two counties in MD not open when other hotspots in the country are opening?

The metrics are both mathematically laughable and logistically impossible to attain:

— They want 5% testing capacity per month. That means doing an average of about 1,700 tests in MoCo per day. Statewide we are doing about 3,000 tests per day. No one knows how MoCo will get our testing capacity up to the point where we are doing 50% of what the entire state is doing.

— Amid all this increased testing, they want a 14-day decline in new cases.

— They want a 14-day decline—as calculated by rolling average—in deaths. We are now averaging 12.4 deaths per day. How can we attain a 14-day decline in a metric that is BELOW 14?

— They want a decline in hospitalizations, yet Gayles said last week that he doesn’t even know how many COVID patients we have in MoCo, and our hospitals haven’t been overwhelmed (with the exception of 2 Silver Spring ones).

That’s just 4 examples of the absurdity of these metrics.

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:The announcement that the stay at home order will be continuing "until further notice" is alarming.

Ugh.

There's plenty that's open in Montgomery County right now - and has been open all along. You might have to wait a bit longer to get your nails done or your hair cut.

The point is that the longer they don't go officially into phase 1 the longer it will be until childcare, camps and pools open. Which is what I am waiting for.

Anonymous wrote:I got a text from my nail salon that they are open by appointment. Email from the indoor batting cage that my son likes to visit that they are open by appointment. It feels like many small businesses are opening up at limited capacity despite MoCo's order.

I have experienced this as well. I think some local businesses are getting to a point where they are willing to risk consequences to sustain their livelihood.

Frankly I think it's really stupid to remain closed when the majority of cases are in nursing homes/rehab centers and long term care facilities. Like those people are not going to nail salons and batting cages.

I suspect Elrich won’t be able to stay closed longer than PG so I’m watching what they’re doing.

Anonymous wrote:The announcement that the stay at home order will be continuing "until further notice" is alarming.

Ugh.

There's plenty that's open in Montgomery County right now - and has been open all along. You might have to wait a bit longer to get your nails done or your hair cut.

I got a text from my nail salon that they are open by appointment. Email from the indoor batting cage that my son likes to visit that they are open by appointment. It feels like many small businesses are opening up at limited capacity despite MoCo's order.

There really is no way for them to remain closed when everything else opens up. Doesn’t matter what cowardly Eldrich thinks

The rate of new cases and deaths is going down. I'm going to guess we'll reopen in early June.

I wouldn't be surprised if we're in phase 1 in a month.

Let's see how the rest of the state does.

Hogan will reverse it if it goes too far.

They will reopen when the number of cases and hospitalizations go down.

The announcement that the stay at home order will be continuing "until further notice" is alarming.

Ugh.