Anonymous
Post 11/15/2018 11:49     Subject: Re:IVF Prediction Tool

Anonymous wrote:What I found most interesting is that after 6 cycles my chances of becoming pregnant were higher than 1 cycle. I assumed if I didn't get pregnant after three cycles my chances would decrease.


It's commonly assumed that two IVF cycles are independent events, i.e. success/failure in one cycle does not affect the success/failure of the other cycle. Most commonly known independent events are coin tosses. Just because you toss six times and get tail on all six times doesn't change the odd of you getting head in the 7th toss. The chance of getting one head is higher in 7 tosses than 1 toss.

Same is IVF. Your chance definitely improves after every additional cycle, but it's never 100% so you will never be sure how many cycles you will get pregnant.
Anonymous
Post 11/15/2018 11:36     Subject: IVF Prediction Tool

This tool doesn't account for diminished ovarian reserve. It gives me much higher odds than the SART tool and Shady Grove did.
Anonymous
Post 11/15/2018 11:13     Subject: Re:IVF Prediction Tool

What I found most interesting is that after 6 cycles my chances of becoming pregnant were higher than 1 cycle. I assumed if I didn't get pregnant after three cycles my chances would decrease.
Anonymous
Post 11/15/2018 11:01     Subject: IVF Prediction Tool

Anonymous wrote:I found this tool and thought it to be somewhat interesting:

https://w3.abdn.ac.uk/clsm/opis


Only mildly amusing, I played with all the toggles and none of them makes much difference except age and number of cycles.
Anonymous
Post 11/15/2018 10:05     Subject: IVF Prediction Tool

I found this tool and thought it to be somewhat interesting:

https://w3.abdn.ac.uk/clsm/opis