Anonymous wrote:Absolutely, OP.
My guess is South Lakes, Herndon, Oakton, Chantilly and Westfield will likely see a boundary change. From what I recall, it would be at the end of the Silver line and Carson and part of Franklin and part of Hughes and Herndon would feed into it.
It seems like once that high school is built, McLean would take on some of Stuart's overcrowding, Langley would absorb some of Marshall's and Mclean's island would likely go to Madison (so McLean could take on the additional capacity from Stuart) and some of Madison would go to Oakton since's there's more capacity due to the new high school.
Westfield would apparently relieve Centreville's overcrowding.
If you have a small kid in that part of the county, I'd expect to see some serious shifts.
There's no major boundary shift planned for the southern part of the county, but it's needed. I think the new high school would force the county's hand on the northern schools, though.
Oh and in terms of demographics, if this happens, McLean will look a lot more like Marshall, Langley will be basically the same (absent taking on some of Herndon's feeders), Madison and Oakton would be the same, South Lakes wouldn't change much (since Dogwood and Fox Mill would likely feed into the new school canceling each other out), Chantilly would be the same, and Westfield would look basically the same (with Coates now going to the new school). Marshall would lose some single family homes to Langley, but with Pimmit gentrifying and Tysons, would be the same.
The new school would take Coates, Fox Mill, Dogwood, McNair, Floris, Oak Hill. Parts of other feeders like Crossfield and Navy might feed into it. In terms of demographics, it would look like Marshall basically.
That's why I see the county giving in and doing the massive redistricting if they build that high school. No one is getting saddled and the demographics would even out while alleviating crowding.