Anonymous wrote:But a government guaranteed pension of $60k a year until you die is worth exponentially more than the estimated value of what you'll likely actually pull out. Let's say actuarial tables estimate you'll only live 20 years after retirement, so you're talking about $1.2million of pension payments (let's ignore inflation to keep it simple). But you MAY live 40 more years. Which is $2.4million. If you don't have a pension, you have to put aside NOW so much more money than $2.4million if you want to guarantee yourself $60k a year until the unknown date that you die. You have to protect against inflation, market swings, etc. So the fed pension is worth a LOT more than the actuarial value of it.
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:But a government guaranteed pension of $60k a year until you die is worth exponentially more than the estimated value of what you'll likely actually pull out. Let's say actuarial tables estimate you'll only live 20 years after retirement, so you're talking about $1.2million of pension payments (let's ignore inflation to keep it simple). But you MAY live 40 more years. Which is $2.4million. If you don't have a pension, you have to put aside NOW so much more money than $2.4million if you want to guarantee yourself $60k a year until the unknown date that you die. You have to protect against inflation, market swings, etc. So the fed pension is worth a LOT more than the actuarial value of it.
This is what I've intuitively thought. I would love to see the hard numbers in some sort of online calculator or something.
So, you're assuming that you will make approximately $190K for your top three years and that's how you'll end up with $60K/annually for life? It's unclear your age, but that's a good amount of COL increases and step increases to end there.
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:But a government guaranteed pension of $60k a year until you die is worth exponentially more than the estimated value of what you'll likely actually pull out. Let's say actuarial tables estimate you'll only live 20 years after retirement, so you're talking about $1.2million of pension payments (let's ignore inflation to keep it simple). But you MAY live 40 more years. Which is $2.4million. If you don't have a pension, you have to put aside NOW so much more money than $2.4million if you want to guarantee yourself $60k a year until the unknown date that you die. You have to protect against inflation, market swings, etc. So the fed pension is worth a LOT more than the actuarial value of it.
This is what I've intuitively thought. I would love to see the hard numbers in some sort of online calculator or something.
So, you're assuming that you will make approximately $190K for your top three years and that's how you'll end up with $60K/annually for life? It's unclear your age, but that's a good amount of COL increases and step increases to end there.
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:But a government guaranteed pension of $60k a year until you die is worth exponentially more than the estimated value of what you'll likely actually pull out. Let's say actuarial tables estimate you'll only live 20 years after retirement, so you're talking about $1.2million of pension payments (let's ignore inflation to keep it simple). But you MAY live 40 more years. Which is $2.4million. If you don't have a pension, you have to put aside NOW so much more money than $2.4million if you want to guarantee yourself $60k a year until the unknown date that you die. You have to protect against inflation, market swings, etc. So the fed pension is worth a LOT more than the actuarial value of it.
This is what I've intuitively thought. I would love to see the hard numbers in some sort of online calculator or something.
Anonymous wrote:But a government guaranteed pension of $60k a year until you die is worth exponentially more than the estimated value of what you'll likely actually pull out. Let's say actuarial tables estimate you'll only live 20 years after retirement, so you're talking about $1.2million of pension payments (let's ignore inflation to keep it simple). But you MAY live 40 more years. Which is $2.4million. If you don't have a pension, you have to put aside NOW so much more money than $2.4million if you want to guarantee yourself $60k a year until the unknown date that you die. You have to protect against inflation, market swings, etc. So the fed pension is worth a LOT more than the actuarial value of it.
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:I actually think pension is the most difficult aspect to quantify.
Same and same question as the poster. At this point, if I keep working in the gov't until retirement, I'll be entitled to a pension worth $60k/year. Not huge, and is about 15 percent of my current GS-15 salary (which is expected to rise until the max), but how do I compare that to future salary in the private sector?
And what about health benefits?
Anonymous wrote:I actually think pension is the most difficult aspect to quantify.