Anonymous
02/14/2017 14:35
Subject: Elon Musk just made 4 predictions
"As long as people are willing to fight, there will always be a need for lawyers. But I do think there will be a need for less lawyer due to automation."
Automation will replace some of what we do. Anything that involved filling out forms or basis legal advice will be automated (or outsourced). The remaining work will be chiefly higher end work, especially anything that involves personal relationships. There still will be a need for people to write, understand and lobby current and new laws and regulations.
Automation will replace some of what we do. Anything that involved filling out forms or basis legal advice will be automated (or outsourced). The remaining work will be chiefly higher end work, especially anything that involves personal relationships. There still will be a need for people to write, understand and lobby current and new laws and regulations.
Anonymous
02/14/2017 14:20
Subject: Re:Elon Musk just made 4 predictions
Anonymous wrote:The idea of the basic income is not new....Switzerland voted on it last year.
The job market is constantly evolving -- there are always people who are going to get left behind. And while there may be fewer truck drivers, something else will evolve where we will need workers.
What's different about this current/upcoming revolution is that most people will be left behind- truck drivers, office workers, white collar, blue collar, manual labor, low earners, high earners.
When something else evolves, it will too be targeted for automation.
Anonymous
02/14/2017 14:05
Subject: Elon Musk just made 4 predictions
First world economies will turn into third world economies. Wealth concentrated at the very top, very little left for the majority of the population. This is how revolutions get started . . .
Anonymous
02/14/2017 14:02
Subject: Re:Elon Musk just made 4 predictions
Anonymous wrote:All the jobs will be in the field of education, health and restoring our environment. I am very hopeful.
And I see all the jobs being in the service sector -- waiting on customers of some kind. Not hopeful.
Anonymous
02/14/2017 14:00
Subject: Elon Musk just made 4 predictions
Anonymous wrote:As long as people are willing to fight, there will always be a need for lawyers. But I do think there will be a need for less lawyer due to automation.
I have a friend who is tech law specialist. He says the firms are really resistant to technology changes and could do a lot more with software, analytics, etc. A lot of time it's not about being productive, it's about billing.
Anonymous
02/14/2017 13:50
Subject: Elon Musk just made 4 predictions
As long as people are willing to fight, there will always be a need for lawyers. But I do think there will be a need for less lawyer due to automation.
Anonymous
02/14/2017 13:47
Subject: Re:Elon Musk just made 4 predictions
Espionage, spying, false news, tracking consumer behavior, advertising and influencing people, GMO and military.
Other professions that will do well.
Other professions that will do well.
Anonymous
02/14/2017 13:41
Subject: Re:Elon Musk just made 4 predictions
All the jobs will be in the field of education, health and restoring our environment. I am very hopeful.
Anonymous
02/14/2017 13:38
Subject: Re:Elon Musk just made 4 predictions
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:We will need workers to maintain all of these robots.
right, just like we need nurses and doctors to care for and repair humans.
No that can be automated.
Anonymous
02/14/2017 11:47
Subject: Re:Elon Musk just made 4 predictions
Anonymous wrote:We will need workers to maintain all of these robots.
right, just like we need nurses and doctors to care for and repair humans.
Anonymous
02/14/2017 11:38
Subject: Re:Elon Musk just made 4 predictions
We will need workers to maintain all of these robots.
Anonymous
02/14/2017 11:21
Subject: Re:Elon Musk just made 4 predictions
The idea of the basic income is not new....Switzerland voted on it last year.
The job market is constantly evolving -- there are always people who are going to get left behind. And while there may be fewer truck drivers, something else will evolve where we will need workers.
The job market is constantly evolving -- there are always people who are going to get left behind. And while there may be fewer truck drivers, something else will evolve where we will need workers.
Anonymous
02/14/2017 11:02
Subject: Elon Musk just made 4 predictions
Forward-thinkers are ALWAYS optimistic in their time-lines. Elon did say that he did not wish for these things to happen, but actually, he's excited like a little boy for technical progress
Of course, he doesn't look forward to the potential human cost of automation.
Just to point out that his time-line is rubbish, and that all of these things will come true, but in at least 50 years, what with active resistance to change from industries and unions, and consumer inertia.
So yes, our grand-children will be concerned.
Anonymous
02/14/2017 11:01
Subject: Re:Elon Musk just made 4 predictions
I think automated cars are going to come and will be a god send for traffic problems, accidents, drunk driving. I am personally very excited about them.
I am less excited about the notion of robots replacing many of the jobs that humans do. I know it is the cheapest way, but how are we going to keep the population fed and clothed?
I am less excited about the notion of robots replacing many of the jobs that humans do. I know it is the cheapest way, but how are we going to keep the population fed and clothed?
Anonymous
02/14/2017 10:52
Subject: Elon Musk just made 4 predictions
"There will be fewer and fewer jobs that a robot cannot do better. I want to be clear. These are not things I wish will happen; these are things I think probably will happen. And if my assessment is correct and they probably will happen, than we have to think about what are we going to do about it? I think some kind of universal basic income is going to be necessary. The output of goods and services will be extremely high. With automation there will come abundance. Almost everything will get very cheap. I think we'll end up doing universal basic income. It's going to be necessary. The much harder challenge is, how are people going to have meaning? A lot of people derive their meaning from their employment. So if there's no need for your labor, what's your meaning? Do you feel useless? That's a much harder problem to deal with."
https://www.rawstory.com/2017/02/elon-musk-just-made-4-predictions-about-the-future-of-humanity/
I tend to agree. You already see it happening...especially if you've been in the workplace for 20 or 30 years. This is not just a blue collar blues thing.
Also interesting predictions about cars....what is unsaid is that this technology will be used to replace truck drivers - 3.5 to 4 million jobs with an average income of 85k a year.
My guess is that in probably 10 years it will be very unusual for cars to be built that are not fully autonomous... There are about 2 billion cars in the world, and the total annual production capacity is about 100 million cars, which makes sense since the average life of a car before being totally scrapped is about 20 to 25 years... So the point at which we see autonomy appear will not be the point at which there is a massive societal impact on people, because it will take a lot of time to make enough autonomous vehicles to disrupt."