Anonymous
07/25/2016 19:59
Subject: Nate Silver has a new prediction
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:It's time for Joe to run. The Democratic candidate can't be so close with Trump. TRUMP FFS! The Democrats need to be creaming this guy.
Democrats need to thank HRC or her work and run someone capable of beating Trump. The stakes (trump stakes?) are too high.
Time for Al Neri to tap Hillary on the shoulder and take her fishing.
Yes! Joe! I love him. I won't vote for Hillary.
Agreed! I'd vote for Biden but not Hillary.
Perhaps Hillary will do the noble thing and withdraw
You're both disgusting.
Please ........ I just want to make it less likely that Trump is elected president. A person who 68% of the country think is dishonest and untrustworthy is not our strongest candidate. You will agree that is a pretty stunning indictment against Hillary!
You do know that Trump's negatives are higher than hers, right?
Anonymous
07/25/2016 19:43
Subject: Nate Silver has a new prediction
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:It's time for Joe to run. The Democratic candidate can't be so close with Trump. TRUMP FFS! The Democrats need to be creaming this guy.
Democrats need to thank HRC or her work and run someone capable of beating Trump. The stakes (trump stakes?) are too high.
Time for Al Neri to tap Hillary on the shoulder and take her fishing.
Yes! Joe! I love him. I won't vote for Hillary.
Agreed! I'd vote for Biden but not Hillary.
Perhaps Hillary will do the noble thing and withdraw
You're both disgusting.
Please ........ I just want to make it less likely that Trump is elected president. A person who 68% of the country think is dishonest and untrustworthy is not our strongest candidate. You will agree that is a pretty stunning indictment against Hillary!
Anonymous
07/25/2016 19:38
Subject: Nate Silver has a new prediction
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:It's time for Joe to run. The Democratic candidate can't be so close with Trump. TRUMP FFS! The Democrats need to be creaming this guy.
Democrats need to thank HRC or her work and run someone capable of beating Trump. The stakes (trump stakes?) are too high.
Time for Al Neri to tap Hillary on the shoulder and take her fishing.
Yes! Joe! I love him. I won't vote for Hillary.
Agreed! I'd vote for Biden but not Hillary.
Perhaps Hillary will do the noble thing and withdraw
You're both disgusting.
Anonymous
07/25/2016 19:36
Subject: Nate Silver has a new prediction
Anonymous wrote:No surprise. There's more angry protestors at the DNC than at the RNC. The Demkcrat party os tearing itself apart!
DemocratIC. You omitted the "ic" in "Democrat."
Anonymous
07/25/2016 19:24
Subject: Nate Silver has a new prediction
No surprise. There's more angry protestors at the DNC than at the RNC. The Demkcrat party os tearing itself apart!
Anonymous
07/25/2016 19:23
Subject: Nate Silver has a new prediction
Anonymous wrote:http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/#now
The tide is turning...
The DNC convention is a mess.
I am starting to feel bad for Hillary.
Why did she even run? She could be retried and enjoying her grandchildren. She doesn't need this job. It is too much work; too much travel; a big headache actually.
Why would anyone want to be POTUS?
Only those with massive egos apply.
Anonymous
07/25/2016 19:21
Subject: Nate Silver has a new prediction
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:It's time for Joe to run. The Democratic candidate can't be so close with Trump. TRUMP FFS! The Democrats need to be creaming this guy.
Democrats need to thank HRC or her work and run someone capable of beating Trump. The stakes (trump stakes?) are too high.
Time for Al Neri to tap Hillary on the shoulder and take her fishing.
Yes! Joe! I love him. I won't vote for Hillary.
Agreed! I'd vote for Biden but not Hillary.
Perhaps Hillary will do the noble thing and withdraw
Anonymous
07/25/2016 19:17
Subject: Nate Silver has a new prediction
Anonymous wrote:It's time for Joe to run. The Democratic candidate can't be so close with Trump. TRUMP FFS! The Democrats need to be creaming this guy.
Democrats need to thank HRC or her work and run someone capable of beating Trump. The stakes (trump stakes?) are too high.
Time for Al Neri to tap Hillary on the shoulder and take her fishing.
Yes! Joe! I love him. I won't vote for Hillary.
Anonymous
07/25/2016 19:17
Subject: Nate Silver has a new prediction
All you are looking at is a convention bump. The tide comes in, but the tide will go out again.
Anonymous
07/25/2016 18:55
Subject: Nate Silver has a new prediction
Facts don't matter to Trumpeters. They live in their own reality.
Anonymous
07/25/2016 18:53
Subject: Re:Nate Silver has a new prediction
Sigh.
That's what happens when you only read headlines.
From 538:
Differences between polls-only and now-cast
The now-cast is basically the polls-only model, except that we lie to our computer and tell it the election is today.
As a result, the now-cast is very aggressive. It’s much more confident than polls-plus or polls-only; it weights recent polls more heavily and is more aggressive in calculating a trend line.
There could be some big differences around the conventions. The polls-only and polls-plus models discount polls taken just after the conventions, whereas the now-cast will work to quickly capture the convention bounce.
That's what happens when you only read headlines.
From 538:
Differences between polls-only and now-cast
The now-cast is basically the polls-only model, except that we lie to our computer and tell it the election is today.
As a result, the now-cast is very aggressive. It’s much more confident than polls-plus or polls-only; it weights recent polls more heavily and is more aggressive in calculating a trend line.
There could be some big differences around the conventions. The polls-only and polls-plus models discount polls taken just after the conventions, whereas the now-cast will work to quickly capture the convention bounce.
Anonymous
07/25/2016 18:51
Subject: Nate Silver has a new prediction
It's time for Joe to run. The Democratic candidate can't be so close with Trump. TRUMP FFS! The Democrats need to be creaming this guy.
Democrats need to thank HRC or her work and run someone capable of beating Trump. The stakes (trump stakes?) are too high.
Time for Al Neri to tap Hillary on the shoulder and take her fishing.
Democrats need to thank HRC or her work and run someone capable of beating Trump. The stakes (trump stakes?) are too high.
Time for Al Neri to tap Hillary on the shoulder and take her fishing.
Anonymous
07/25/2016 18:50
Subject: Re:Nate Silver has a new prediction
Trump could be retired on a beach somewhere, too. Enjoying his grandchildren and his families.
Anonymous
07/25/2016 18:48
Subject: Nate Silver has a new prediction
* retired (on a beach somewhere)
Anonymous
07/25/2016 18:46
Subject: Nate Silver has a new prediction
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/#now
The tide is turning...
The DNC convention is a mess.
I am starting to feel bad for Hillary.
Why did she even run? She could be retried and enjoying her grandchildren. She doesn't need this job. It is too much work; too much travel; a big headache actually.
The tide is turning...
The DNC convention is a mess.
I am starting to feel bad for Hillary.
Why did she even run? She could be retried and enjoying her grandchildren. She doesn't need this job. It is too much work; too much travel; a big headache actually.