Anonymous wrote:If a boundary change were to happen, putting Bancroft at McFarland and Shepherd at the "new north" middle school (when they open, good luck with that) makes some sense.
But it could also make sense to send Hearst and Bancroft to Hardy. Bancroft families might be more willing to lose Deal if they keep Wilson (an even better option could be to send Bancroft to Adams, to keep the bilingual opportunity). And making a WOTP school take a boundary change too would be good optics.
But the math doesn't indicate that any boundary changes are required.
Anonymous wrote:the argument is that there won't be room at Deal, and since these schools are further from Deal and closer to other middle schools, they'll be the ones to get shifted out. DCPS and DME have been willing to cut out schools that provide more diverse boundaries (see: Crestwood and SE/SW from Wilson) so it certainly could happen.
But it doesn't have to happen. http://www.21csf.org/csf-home/datashop.asp shows the capacities of various schools. Deal has a capacity of 964 kids, or 321 for each of its 3 grades.
Assuming Shepherd and Bancroft have 8 grades and Janney, Murch, Lafayette, and Hearst have 7, and that school enrollment is equally distributed among grades (not perfect assumptions but let's go with them) the 5th grade at each school will have the following number of kids:
Shepherd: 40
Bancroft: 64
Janney: 99
Murch: 89
Lafayette: 100
Hearst: 42
The total is 434. But that assumes they all go to Deal, and they don't. Some go to DCI, Latin, BASIS, private schools, or their families move. Of course, some move into the Deal boundary too, or they live IB, went to OOB/private/charter elementaries, and now want to attend Deal. Let's assume the push and pull factors are a wash and 434 kids each year go to Deal, for a total enrollment of 1302. That sounds like a lot and it is above the school's listed capacity, but the school currently has 1312 kids. So it is completely possible to keep things the way they are. Another way to reduce enrollment without changing feeder patterns is to eliminate the rule that once you're in an elementary school from OOB, you have a right to attend its destination middle school. It's hard to estimate how many kids that could affect in 2022. Right now, 53% of Bancroft kids are IB, but 87% at Lafayette and 94% at Janney.
A lot will depend on the demograpics and politics of 2022.
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:but that is only temporary until 2022 or something...
I wouldn't say "temporary". Those two schools have always fed Deal and will continue to do so even when it's revisited in 2022.
I doubt that Shepherd and Bancroft will continue to feed into Deal after 2022.
As the commercial says, "When you argue with math, you lose."
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:but that is only temporary until 2022 or something...
I wouldn't say "temporary". Those two schools have always fed Deal and will continue to do so even when it's revisited in 2022.
Anonymous wrote:but that is only temporary until 2022 or something...
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:the map is at page 15 here: http://dme.dc.gov/sites/default/files/dc/sites/dme/publication/attachments/Final%20Recommendations%20on%20Student%20Assignment%208-18-14.pdf
Also, if it's in-bounds for Shepherd, Janney, Murch, Layfayette, or Hearst, it's in-bounds for Deal.
for others who may look at this thread, the site to enter addresses is http://dcatlas.dcgis.dc.gov/schools/
Doesn't Bancroft also feed to Deal?
Anonymous wrote:the map is at page 15 here: http://dme.dc.gov/sites/default/files/dc/sites/dme/publication/attachments/Final%20Recommendations%20on%20Student%20Assignment%208-18-14.pdf
Also, if it's in-bounds for Shepherd, Janney, Murch, Layfayette, or Hearst, it's in-bounds for Deal.
for others who may look at this thread, the site to enter addresses is http://dcatlas.dcgis.dc.gov/schools/