Anonymous
Post 10/28/2011 01:32     Subject: Your best guess for Obama's probability of re-election
Obama wins. It's a lock.
TheManWithAUsername
Post 10/27/2011 20:59     Subject: Re:Your best guess for Obama's probability of re-election
Anonymous wrote:Are there any independents? Both parties suck. This might be a good time for someone completely new.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_third_party_and_independent_presidential_candidates,_2012#Candidates

You can always write someone in, too.
Anonymous
Post 10/27/2011 20:07     Subject: Re:Your best guess for Obama's probability of re-election
Are there any independents? Both parties suck. This might be a good time for someone completely new.
Anonymous
Post 10/27/2011 19:31     Subject: Your best guess for Obama's probability of re-election
Obama has a war chest. The Republicans have no candidate and there's a chance Ron Paul could run as a 3rd party candidate and take R votes. Four more years baby, no doubt.
Anonymous
Post 10/27/2011 18:42     Subject: Your best guess for Obama's probability of re-election
If the GOP run anyone but Romney, Obama is a shoe in. Romney could steal votes from Obama, tho, and it seems like he's the only viable candidate.

So.... 51% Omaba.
Anonymous
Post 10/27/2011 18:41     Subject: Your best guess for Obama's probability of re-election
Anonymous wrote:If it's Romney, 75%. If anyone else, 99%.


Agree with this.
Anonymous
Post 10/27/2011 17:47     Subject: Your best guess for Obama's probability of re-election
yeah, 55%
Anonymous
Post 10/27/2011 17:33     Subject: Re:Your best guess for Obama's probability of re-election
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:I feel like this is going to be a replay of 2004, only in reverse. Obama's not well-liked, just like GWB wasn't, but the opposite party can't put up a decent contender. So I'm going to say slightly better than 50%.


Ditto.
Me too.
Anonymous
Post 10/27/2011 17:25     Subject: Re:Your best guess for Obama's probability of re-election
Anonymous wrote:I feel like this is going to be a replay of 2004, only in reverse. Obama's not well-liked, just like GWB wasn't, but the opposite party can't put up a decent contender. So I'm going to say slightly better than 50%.


Ditto.
Anonymous
Post 10/27/2011 17:21     Subject: Your best guess for Obama's probability of re-election
If it's Romney, 75%. If anyone else, 99%.
Anonymous
Post 10/27/2011 17:18     Subject: Your best guess for Obama's probability of re-election
Fiddy-fiddy.
Anonymous
Post 10/27/2011 17:05     Subject: Re:Your best guess for Obama's probability of re-election
jsteele wrote:Complete metaphysical certitude.

Not that I'm all that thrilled about it.


Wow.

65%
jsteele
Post 10/27/2011 17:00     Subject: Re:Your best guess for Obama's probability of re-election
Complete metaphysical certitude.

Not that I'm all that thrilled about it.
Anonymous
Post 10/27/2011 16:52     Subject: Re:Your best guess for Obama's probability of re-election
I feel like this is going to be a replay of 2004, only in reverse. Obama's not well-liked, just like GWB wasn't, but the opposite party can't put up a decent contender. So I'm going to say slightly better than 50%.
Anonymous
Post 10/27/2011 16:14     Subject: Your best guess for Obama's probability of re-election
40%