Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:What are the chances of flipping MTG’s district?

Literally anything is in play at this point. But, again, today's not election day.

You could get struck by lightning. You could win the lottery. The Browns could win the Super Bowl next year. All these things are in play but about as likely as that district flipping.

Anonymous wrote:What are the chances of flipping MTG’s district?

Literally anything is in play at this point. But, again, today's not election day.

Anonymous wrote:What are the chances of flipping MTG’s district?

Almost zero.

What are the chances of flipping MTG’s district?

Anonymous wrote:Democrat Christian Menefee won a Texas special election for the U.S. House of Representatives on Saturday 1/31.

Prediction bet: How long will it take Johnson to swear Menefee in?

+Meneffee = 218-214

3 House vacancies in Georgia, New Jersey and California are scheduled to be filled by special elections in March, April and August.

Post any others please.

It was today! I’m as surprised as you are.

Three quarters of a million people spent 336 days without representation in Congress.

Democrat Christian Menefee won a Texas special election for the U.S. House of Representatives on Saturday 1/31.

Prediction bet: How long will it take Johnson to swear Menefee in?

+Meneffee = 218-214

3 House vacancies in Georgia, New Jersey and California are scheduled to be filled by special elections in March, April and August.

Post any others please.
.

Anonymous wrote:https://ballotpedia.org/State_legislative_special_elections,_2026

Dozens of state legislative contests the next few months.

Yup here’s the info for February:

Additional data on the Texas state senate flip:

A month of special election 2026 results are missing because this thread was only started in February. There's already a thread on this one, but let's give another shout out to the Texas election where the Dems flipped a seat in deep red area of red Texas.
https://www.cnn.com/2026/02/01/politics/texas-state-senate-9-special-election-rehmet
The hits keep coming for Republicans ahead of the 2026 midterm election. But even amid a series of panic-inspiring results for the GOP, a new outcome in Texas stands out.

Democrat Taylor Rehmet pulled an upset in a Fort Worth-area district, beating Republican Leigh Wambsganss 57%-43% in a runoff election in a solidly Republican district.

Anonymous wrote:Others?

Georgia's 14th Congressional District on March 10, 2026

New Jersey's 11th Congressional District on April 16, 2026

California's 1st Congressional District on August 4, 2026

Not technically special but Wisconsin has another Supreme Court election in April.

https://ballotpedia.org/State_legislative_special_elections,_2026

Dozens of state legislative contests the next few months.

Others?

Georgia's 14th Congressional District on March 10, 2026

New Jersey's 11th Congressional District on April 16, 2026

California's 1st Congressional District on August 4, 2026