Anonymous wrote:Is the 100M jobs US only? We only have ~330M people in the country and a bunch of those are kids/elderly.
Can only pay for a plumber, electrician, etc if one has money to pay for one. If things get tight, more people will DIY out of necessity.
I have no doubt AI will change things substantially, particularly in certain industries. But I think it's hard to project how exactly work will change. Consider how many new jobs exist now that didn't just 20 years ago. I work in a space that didn't exist now made possible by technological advances in many different industries. I don't know that we can say AI won't do the same.
I think students now should think of their education as preparing for a rapidly changing environment. Learning how to learn, Learning to synthesize inputs from a variety of sources, etc At a time when it seems there is a push toward 'job ready' today, there is a risk of missing out on laying a solid foundation for rapid change.
Trades will be needed of course, but if that catches on, it will burn itself out like every other job/industry 'trend'. It gets saturated, pay drops, jobs getting harder to find. Rinse and repeat
I agee with this and also think the people that think trades won’t be affected are fooling themselves. You think they can’t develop an AI controlled robot to do plumbing work? Trades have already been affected by tech development and advances in manufacturing.
AI might generate more work for historians and similar actually. Like people thought legal research tools would make legal work faster but it actually makes it slower because how you can find literally thousands of relevant cases that you have to think through (whereas old timey briefs would only cite a couple big cases). If AI can really summarize and reconstruct some of the very old historical records, that might give historians a whole fresh take on things to write about. They way DNA analysis is now opening up whole new avenues in archaeology.
But I do feel like sooner or later the shite will hit the fan with all this. The world probably just needs fewer people. Which is probably okay in the long run.