Anonymous
08/25/2025 17:58
Subject: Market feels very overvalued--go to cash for a while?
The market has been overvalued for 10 years. That’s not an actionable piece of information unless you like underperforming the market.
Anonymous
08/25/2025 16:58
Subject: Market feels very overvalued--go to cash for a while?
Moving to 100 percent cash can be very risky. You miss out on a lot of potential upside. But stopping buying and maybe going to 20 or 30 percent cash might be wise. I have not been buying us stock since January, buying international instead.
Anonymous
08/25/2025 16:51
Subject: Market feels very overvalued--go to cash for a while?
who knows?!? Move 20%-40% to cash if it will make you feel better (but not all of it)
Anonymous
08/25/2025 16:44
Subject: Market feels very overvalued--go to cash for a while?
If the market can stay high through covid unemployment then it's going to stay high all through this administration. Even if the national guard starts torching derelict buildings.
Anonymous
08/25/2025 16:11
Subject: Re:Market feels very overvalued--go to cash for a while?
Anonymous wrote:You can invest in a fund that shorts the market.
Timing is the issue though.
Anonymous
08/25/2025 16:05
Subject: Re:Market feels very overvalued--go to cash for a while?
You can invest in a fund that shorts the market.
Anonymous
08/25/2025 16:04
Subject: Market feels very overvalued--go to cash for a while?
Anonymous wrote:I agree with you OP
What's more likely. S&P to gain 30%, or to lose 30%.
The risks is exponentially higher the market will drop.
I piled a ton of $ into S&P in April when it was under 5000. It's seen an almost 30% rise. I'll be selling at the first sign of distress and stick it back into what at that time will probably be 3.5% money market until after the correction again. Locking in a profit is never bad.
You can be a sheepie and follow the axiom not to pull out of the market because it will recover. Pull up the long term graph and you'll see some of those recoveries took 15 years.
In the short term I agree this is a good time to be selling. Market is overvalued. I just cashed out a few hundred k to put down on a house in the next year.
Anonymous
08/25/2025 14:39
Subject: Market feels very overvalued--go to cash for a while?
Good time to put a chunk in Trump coin
Anonymous
08/25/2025 13:55
Subject: Market feels very overvalued--go to cash for a while?
Anonymous wrote:I agree with you OP
What's more likely. S&P to gain 30%, or to lose 30%.
The risks is exponentially higher the market will drop.
I piled a ton of $ into S&P in April when it was under 5000. It's seen an almost 30% rise. I'll be selling at the first sign of distress and stick it back into what at that time will probably be 3.5% money market until after the correction again. Locking in a profit is never bad.
You can be a sheepie and follow the axiom not to pull out of the market because it will recover. Pull up the long term graph and you'll see some of those recoveries took 15 years.
Looks like you answered your own question. Good luck with your market timing.
Anonymous
08/25/2025 13:49
Subject: Market feels very overvalued--go to cash for a while?
I agree with you OP
What's more likely. S&P to gain 30%, or to lose 30%.
The risks is exponentially higher the market will drop.
I piled a ton of $ into S&P in April when it was under 5000. It's seen an almost 30% rise. I'll be selling at the first sign of distress and stick it back into what at that time will probably be 3.5% money market until after the correction again. Locking in a profit is never bad.
You can be a sheepie and follow the axiom not to pull out of the market because it will recover. Pull up the long term graph and you'll see some of those recoveries took 15 years.
What's more likely. S&P to gain 30%, or to lose 30%.
The risks is exponentially higher the market will drop.
I piled a ton of $ into S&P in April when it was under 5000. It's seen an almost 30% rise. I'll be selling at the first sign of distress and stick it back into what at that time will probably be 3.5% money market until after the correction again. Locking in a profit is never bad.
You can be a sheepie and follow the axiom not to pull out of the market because it will recover. Pull up the long term graph and you'll see some of those recoveries took 15 years.
Anonymous
08/25/2025 10:10
Subject: Market feels very overvalued--go to cash for a while?
You're going to be so rich!
Anonymous
08/25/2025 08:12
Subject: Market feels very overvalued--go to cash for a while?
Jumping in and out based on feelings is the path to riches bro
Anonymous
08/25/2025 08:02
Subject: Market feels very overvalued--go to cash for a while?
Go 100% Bitcoin bro!
Anonymous
08/25/2025 07:57
Subject: Market feels very overvalued--go to cash for a while?
DOG MONEY
Anonymous
08/25/2025 00:52
Subject: Market feels very overvalued--go to cash for a while?
Feel like we are due for a 10-20 percent correction due to valuations, possible sticky inflation after PCE comes out this week, and AI bubble (will be good over long term but NVDA has a 4.3 trillion valuation).
THOUGHTS?
THOUGHTS?