I tried college raptor with a 4 5 GPA and most competitive schools were listed at 20 percent. Just schools like U of Florida. Maybe that is correct but it felt low.

HYPSM are safeties? wtf?

Anonymous wrote:Was 100% for me when I chanced my daughter a couple of years ago. At HYPSM.

I also tried ChatGPT — was also correct!

What does this mean? If Collegevine gives a 30% chance of getting in, and the student gets in, the 30% could be correct, and if the student doesn't get in, the 30% could also be correct. Or it could be completely wrong, but how would you know?

Anonymous wrote:Despair ... is the best descriptor for me.

All my 10 ECs were classified as 4 (standard) and 3 (strong). None of them gets 1 or 2.
What a crazy game ...

I don't think ivy kids from our school have crazy ECs in 1 or 2. It could also be that I just don't know them well.

I know a kid at H. EC rating was initially a 3. The AO wrote that the recognition in ECs bumped it up to a 2. I watch YT and see most kids get in with EC rating of 3. Not a biggie!

Was 100% for me when I chanced my daughter a couple of years ago. At HYPSM.

I also tried ChatGPT — was also correct!

Anonymous wrote:I would not go off of college Vine. I would go off of your school’s specific scattergram data. Particularly for the schools whether there are enough applications like Virginia Tech or UMD.

Agree, and this is probably the answer.

But, if your school doesn't have this, I used Collegevine, CollegeRaptor and Niche (which has limited data from respondents), because our public school had no helpful resources.

CollegeRaptor was the most pessimistic, Niche was in the middle and Collegevine most optimistic, so I went with the midrange (not very scientific, I know) for general, very general estimates.

I also did some additional research, for example, my DC applied to Rutgers, which the sites show with a high acceptance rate, around 65%, but in the last 2 years, after going to the Common App, the likely, unpublicized rate is probably closer to 40%, a big difference, so I'd independently research each school on your list for up to date information. I would recommend this even if you have school specific scattergram data.

Applying to schools that are good fits for you based upon your stats, your interests, worldview, experiences and personality are hugely important, highly subjective, and can't be captured by any of this data. The Institutional Common Data Set for schools has a section, possibly Section C?, that explains what schools prioritize for applicants in the admissions process, and I would look at it for each school that you are considering. You might get some additional insight.






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I would not go off of college Vine. I would go off of your school’s specific scattergram data. Particularly for the schools whether there are enough applications like Virginia Tech or UMD.

Anonymous wrote:I’m not sure what you mean, or why you are despairing.

The general issue I have with CollegeVine is it seems to be very optimistic in its chancing. All of my daughter’s schools are listed as targets or safeties. Even Harvard is not listed as a reach.

Seriously

I’m not sure what you mean, or why you are despairing.

The general issue I have with CollegeVine is it seems to be very optimistic in its chancing. All of my daughter’s schools are listed as targets or safeties. Even Harvard is not listed as a reach.

Despair ... is the best descriptor for me.

All my 10 ECs were classified as 4 (standard) and 3 (strong). None of them gets 1 or 2.
What a crazy game ...

I don't think ivy kids from our school have crazy ECs in 1 or 2. It could also be that I just don't know them well.