Anonymous wrote:I think up until a few years ago, your analysis would be correct OP: I think top students at public schools were relatively likely to do a little bit better than similarly situated peers at private schools, particularly coming from schools like Jackson-Reed rather than Whitman. Of course there is a lot of noise. I think test optional has changed the game a little, what I noticed as we went though the last couple of cycles is that the kids from our high-end private did somewhat better than expected. In a perverse but predictable development, I think kids at private schools were in some ways seen as a safer bet because colleges can rely on grades a a bit more reliably, and better college counseling/essay coaching resources make more of a difference in a text optional world. Just another equity measure that backfired and really served the interests of the connected, the well-resourced, and those with superior skills in gaming the system. Just my opinion, of course, as one who has recently been through this process.
I’m not going to dig up the article, but there was an NYT piece a year or so ago about the backlash against test optional admissions that had data to back up your observation. Going to test optional indeed hurts minority kids, poorer kids, and others coming from public schools.