The problem isn’t CV, it’s that most people don’t understand how probability works.

Wrong question. Collegevine is less accurate, the more selective the college, so top schools. Since most high stats kids focus on top schools, it may look like CV is not working as well. Remember that when CV says your probability of getting in is 49%, there's a 51% chance of not getting in.

It seems as though the percentages are too high for more selective schools. Can anyone share their experience with high stats and accuracy of hard targets? TY!