Anonymous
Post 09/05/2024 10:48     Subject: Allan Lichtman predicts Harris will win

Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:Professor Lichtman has never been wrong, except for the Bush-Gore election. He even made the 2016 call for Trump against conventional wisdom. From his mouth to God’s ears.


Once the votes were actually counted, Gore won Florida and thus was entitled to the White House, alas.

If only we had some sort of system where a few hundred voters can only cause one electoral vote to swing, rather than 25. Oh well.
Anonymous
Post 09/05/2024 10:29     Subject: Allan Lichtman predicts Harris will win

Anonymous wrote:Professor Lichtman has never been wrong, except for the Bush-Gore election. He even made the 2016 call for Trump against conventional wisdom. From his mouth to God’s ears.


Once the votes were actually counted, Gore won Florida and thus was entitled to the White House, alas.
Anonymous
Post 09/05/2024 10:27     Subject: Allan Lichtman predicts Harris will win

Anonymous wrote:https://www.nytimes.com/2024/09/05/opinion/allan-lichtman-trump-harris-prediction.html

Harris to win WH


Agreed.

Harris-Walz 2024
Anonymous
Post 09/05/2024 09:56     Subject: Allan Lichtman predicts Harris will win

Anonymous wrote:He has a pseudoscientific model based on “keys” that is not very empirical. Harris might win, but a lot can happen between now and November that might change the outcome of the election.


Look, it's a nice prediction but it doesn't mean anything. The only thing that matters is the real polling on election day (i.e., get out and vote folks).
Anonymous
Post 09/05/2024 09:56     Subject: Allan Lichtman predicts Harris will win

Anonymous wrote:Professor Lichtman has never been wrong, except for the Bush-Gore election. He even made the 2016 call for Trump against conventional wisdom. From his mouth to God’s ears.


He was technically not wrong in 2000 either (cough, Florida.)
Anonymous
Post 09/05/2024 09:55     Subject: Allan Lichtman predicts Harris will win

Anonymous wrote:He has a pseudoscientific model based on “keys” that is not very empirical. Harris might win, but a lot can happen between now and November that might change the outcome of the election.

Finding out that the right wing is being led around by the nose by Russia has been an entertaining development.
Anonymous
Post 09/05/2024 09:49     Subject: Allan Lichtman predicts Harris will win

Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:He predicted Biden would win as well. lol

Biden did win. Are you OK?

Lichtman said the Democrats were being hasty in dumping Biden after the debate debacle this time. He said they still held enough keys to win even with a doddering Biden on the ticket.

Yeah but he never makes his actual prediction until after Labor Day.

+1 If Biden had stayed on, I'm 100% sure he would've lost.
Anonymous
Post 09/05/2024 09:49     Subject: Allan Lichtman predicts Harris will win

He has a pseudoscientific model based on “keys” that is not very empirical. Harris might win, but a lot can happen between now and November that might change the outcome of the election.
Anonymous
Post 09/05/2024 09:31     Subject: Allan Lichtman predicts Harris will win

Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:He predicted Biden would win as well. lol

Biden did win. Are you OK?

Lichtman said the Democrats were being hasty in dumping Biden after the debate debacle this time. He said they still held enough keys to win even with a doddering Biden on the ticket.

Yeah but he never makes his actual prediction until after Labor Day.
Anonymous
Post 09/05/2024 09:29     Subject: Allan Lichtman predicts Harris will win

Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:He predicted Biden would win as well. lol

Biden did win. Are you OK?

Lichtman said the Democrats were being hasty in dumping Biden after the debate debacle this time. He said they still held enough keys to win even with a doddering Biden on the ticket.
Anonymous
Post 09/05/2024 09:29     Subject: Allan Lichtman predicts Harris will win

Anonymous wrote:Professor Lichtman has never been wrong, except for the Bush-Gore election. He even made the 2016 call for Trump against conventional wisdom. From his mouth to God’s ears.

Given that the Supreme Court awarded that one to the loser, he hasn’t been wrong.
Anonymous
Post 09/05/2024 09:24     Subject: Allan Lichtman predicts Harris will win

Anonymous wrote:He predicted Biden would win as well. lol

Biden did win. Are you OK?
Anonymous
Post 09/05/2024 09:08     Subject: Allan Lichtman predicts Harris will win

He predicted Biden would win as well. lol
Anonymous
Post 09/05/2024 09:06     Subject: Allan Lichtman predicts Harris will win

Professor Lichtman has never been wrong, except for the Bush-Gore election. He even made the 2016 call for Trump against conventional wisdom. From his mouth to God’s ears.
Anonymous
Post 09/05/2024 08:56     Subject: Allan Lichtman predicts Harris will win