Anonymous
Post 05/09/2024 16:28     Subject: Alan Lichtman correctly predicted last elections
This is a judgement based assessment and by my count, and I’m no Trump fan, Biden is just on the precipice. Doesn’t seem as sure as the headline. Though I assume he’s got a detailed methodology to counter individual bias, I see a very rocky road.
Anonymous
Post 05/09/2024 15:52     Subject: Alan Lichtman correctly predicted last elections
Anonymous wrote:I think that Lichtman is correct. I think that ultimately, people are too disgusted with Trump to vote for him. While he will have his fans and he must be the luckiest person ever, there's a sense of balance that will come into play and even though I will not vote for either Biden or Trump, there's enough people who are so scared of Trump that they will vote for whomever runs against him. People are emotional creatures - NOT rational.


As he says... anecdotal, but telling.....

Anonymous
Post 05/09/2024 15:44     Subject: Alan Lichtman correctly predicted last elections
Anonymous wrote:Who likes Biden right now? Last election it was more Trump lost than Biden won. Where are people excited to reelect him? If he wins it’s because a third party took a lot of votes away from Trump.


I like Biden right now
Anonymous
Post 05/09/2024 15:44     Subject: Alan Lichtman correctly predicted last elections
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:I think that Lichtman is correct. I think that ultimately, people are too disgusted with Trump to vote for him. While he will have his fans and he must be the luckiest person ever, there's a sense of balance that will come into play and even though I will not vote for either Biden or Trump, there's enough people who are so scared of Trump that they will vote for whomever runs against him. People are emotional creatures - NOT rational.

I’m not “scared” of Trump. I’m disgusted by him and the rest of his party, as well as by people like you who think fence sitting is cute.


I'm scared and disgusted.
Anonymous
Post 05/09/2024 15:32     Subject: Alan Lichtman correctly predicted last elections
Who likes Biden right now? Last election it was more Trump lost than Biden won. Where are people excited to reelect him? If he wins it’s because a third party took a lot of votes away from Trump.
Anonymous
Post 05/09/2024 14:37     Subject: Alan Lichtman correctly predicted last elections
Anonymous wrote:I think that Lichtman is correct. I think that ultimately, people are too disgusted with Trump to vote for him. While he will have his fans and he must be the luckiest person ever, there's a sense of balance that will come into play and even though I will not vote for either Biden or Trump, there's enough people who are so scared of Trump that they will vote for whomever runs against him. People are emotional creatures - NOT rational.

I’m not “scared” of Trump. I’m disgusted by him and the rest of his party, as well as by people like you who think fence sitting is cute.
Anonymous
Post 05/09/2024 13:57     Subject: Alan Lichtman correctly predicted last elections
I think that Lichtman is correct. I think that ultimately, people are too disgusted with Trump to vote for him. While he will have his fans and he must be the luckiest person ever, there's a sense of balance that will come into play and even though I will not vote for either Biden or Trump, there's enough people who are so scared of Trump that they will vote for whomever runs against him. People are emotional creatures - NOT rational.
Anonymous
Post 05/09/2024 13:17     Subject: Alan Lichtman correctly predicted last elections
Anonymous wrote:But Lichtman hasn’t made his official prediction, has he?


Not until August, according to the article. But it appears he thinks Biden has the upper hand unless something strange happens.
Anonymous
Post 05/09/2024 13:12     Subject: Alan Lichtman correctly predicted last elections
But Lichtman hasn’t made his official prediction, has he?
Anonymous
Post 05/09/2024 13:02     Subject: Alan Lichtman correctly predicted last elections
5, 6, 8, 9, and 10 are where I could be convinced the GOP is spending billions in dark money to massage the election outcome.

And some of the money they’ve spent out in the open.
Anonymous
Post 05/09/2024 12:46     Subject: Re:Alan Lichtman correctly predicted last elections
Basically, if Biden loses then there was voter fraud.
Anonymous
Post 05/09/2024 12:35     Subject: Alan Lichtman correctly predicted last elections
Party like it’s…1992! Alan Lichtman forever!
Anonymous
Post 05/09/2024 12:19     Subject: Re:Alan Lichtman correctly predicted last elections
Here’s a better link:

https://amp.theguardian.com/us-news/2024/apr/26/allan-lichtman-prediction-presidential-election
Anonymous
Post 05/09/2024 12:12     Subject: Alan Lichtman correctly predicted last elections
From immigration reform, aiding Russia against Ukraine, stoking protests on campus and tanking the economy, the GOP is doing everything it can to ensure things go wrong.
Anonymous
Post 05/09/2024 11:52     Subject: Alan Lichtman correctly predicted last elections
He says a lot would have to go wrong for Biden to lo

https://www.yahoo.com/news/meet-allan-lichtmanprofessor-predicted-182250825.html