Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:I think you will be sorely disappointed.
Keep laughing. Keep being overconfident. I’m looking forward to the epic cope from MoCo leftists when they find themselves represented by multiple Republicans next year.
Hogan has a real good chance of winning. He has positive name recognition. Trone is not a leftist but he isn’t known for anything. What have you done for me lately Trone? And Black and Latino people don’t feel like the Democrats own them anymore. Nobody is obligated for Democrats and people are waking up and realizing that.
What a huge reckoning for the Far Left this year will be. I bet 4 or 5 out of six Squad members will be defeated. New York and Margarita will be flipped Red in many ways. Young urban people of color don’t want more crime, they want jobs and less inflation.
You are hopelessly deluded if you think this will come to pass. This will be the first full election year since RvW was overturned. In 2022 and 2023, both mid-term elections, every state where abortion rights came on the ballot was a hopeless loss for conservatives. The red wave you think is coming is going to be an ebb tide that rolls out to sea. The nation is between 58-62% leaning pro-abortion rights and every state where abortion rights or abortion opponents have come on the ballot, they have earned at most 45% of the vote and that is in conservative leaning jurisdictions. In MD, which leans Democratic by nearly 2:1 (55% to 31%), it will be a huge hill to climb. And that doesn't include left leaning Independents. Hogan will be at least 10-15% ahead of unknown conseratives, but I would be surprised if Hogan gets more than 40% of the vote for Cardin's seat.
Most people in MD understand that you cannot put a majority of GOP in either chamber of Congress or the situation will become worse rather than better. Hogan is the best chance that MD has for a GOP win and he is still going to lose significantly in MD. Frankly, this year, even Andy Harris in the most Republican district in the state (Eastern Shore) is going to have a hard time when the abortion issue comes along. Harris won 2022 54-43% and with Abortion rights coming to the fore, and being a presidential election, Harris is going to have to fight to keep his seat.
I predict that both houses will go Democratic in November. The White House is up in the air with the battle of ABTrump vs ABBiden camps fighting it out. But I predict solid wins for Democrats this year with abortion being the #1 issue that will bring out voters that normally do not vote. There will be record numbers of under 30 voters and the suburban women votes and that will be voting for abortion rights and for abortion supporting candidates. Just like 2022 and 2023.