Anonymous wrote:OP, I recommend you ignore the folks (so present on DCUM!) who imply that the only purpose of high school is to get into college and the only colleges worth attending are T20s. The world is much more complex and interesting than that, and life is long. I assume your son had a meaningful high school experience, and that he learned some things about the world and about himself. Are a tiny handful of doors likely closed? Sure, but many, many doors are still open. It sounds like the closed doors don't represent what's most important to your family anyway.
I second what people are saying about listening to your son's college counselor. The counselors at these schools tend to be smart, deeply knowledgeable, and able to give a good, realistic range of which schools are likely/targets/appropriate reaches. They've had hundreds of kids with similar stats, and they also have real relationships with AOs at different institutions (and yes, most AOs know about the rigor at different schools). Every school his counselor recommends will have terrific opportunities, great professors, and smart/fun peers.
It's true LACs have a shortage of male applicants, so if your son is open to an LAC, slightly more doors might be open to him. If you don't need financial aid, his chances will be even better. No matter what, I hope you all enjoy the process. Best of luck to your son, and to you.
+1. Admissions counselors also now are a few years out from post-covid admissions so there is more data to work with. You want to make sure your kid is well-packaged and uses their ED wisely (if getting into a T50 is important). Keep an attitude of helping your kid find the right fit vs. the highest ranking. Don't encourage them to fall in love with any schools and don't disparage their "likely/safety" options. They may end up there!