Anonymous
03/26/2023 13:51
Subject: An early look at the labor market impact potential of large language models or What to study (major)
Most news reporters, news writers and editors will be unnecessary in few years.
Anonymous
03/26/2023 13:44
Subject: Re:An early look at the labor market impact potential of large language models or What to study (major)
Yet another alarmist article on AI.
Anonymous
03/26/2023 13:43
Subject: An early look at the labor market impact potential of large language models or What to study (major)
Anonymous wrote:Have any of you PPs saying 50% jobs are going away or whatever ever actually used these large language models?
I’ve been in the AI space for ten years, for context. And I think the people who think these are going to displace many whole professions are delusional.
There are a few professions I think may be more vulnerable. But anyone who says most white collar jobs are going away is just repeating a bunch of industry hype.
Compare what happened in the AI space in the past 10 years and what happened in that space in the past 10 weeks? AI is advancing at lightning speed in case you were not paying attention last week.
Anonymous
03/26/2023 13:39
Subject: An early look at the labor market impact potential of large language models or What to study (major)
Have any of you PPs saying 50% jobs are going away or whatever ever actually used these large language models?
I’ve been in the AI space for ten years, for context. And I think the people who think these are going to displace many whole professions are delusional.
There are a few professions I think may be more vulnerable. But anyone who says most white collar jobs are going away is just repeating a bunch of industry hype.
I’ve been in the AI space for ten years, for context. And I think the people who think these are going to displace many whole professions are delusional.
There are a few professions I think may be more vulnerable. But anyone who says most white collar jobs are going away is just repeating a bunch of industry hype.
Anonymous
03/26/2023 13:39
Subject: An early look at the labor market impact potential of large language models or What to study (major)
I was surprised to learn that a law firm in DC is already using 2 different AI powered programs for their litigation practice and they anticipate hiring fewer attorneys in the coming years.
Anonymous
03/26/2023 13:36
Subject: An early look at the labor market impact potential of large language models or What to study (major)
Anonymous wrote:Seems like we just solved the teacher shortage.
One of the few positives.
Anonymous
03/26/2023 13:33
Subject: An early look at the labor market impact potential of large language models or What to study (major)
We may not even need to attend (expensive) universities to get degrees anymore in the near future. Motivated people will have access to all the information they need delivered in a way they desire to learn more than sitting in lecture halls.
Anonymous
03/26/2023 13:32
Subject: An early look at the labor market impact potential of large language models or What to study (major)
Seems like we just solved the teacher shortage.
Anonymous
03/26/2023 13:30
Subject: An early look at the labor market impact potential of large language models or What to study (major)
I think we will lose about 50-60% of the white collar jobs within the next 4-6 years. This will be extremely disruptive to the economy and the society in general.
Anonymous
03/26/2023 13:24
Subject: An early look at the labor market impact potential of large language models or What to study (major)
Financial analyst's job is going away too.
Anonymous
03/26/2023 13:23
Subject: An early look at the labor market impact potential of large language models or What to study (major)
Yeah, I’ve been asking ChatGPT questions about my area of expertise and let’s just say I’m not worried about my job.
Anonymous
03/26/2023 13:18
Subject: An early look at the labor market impact potential of large language models or What to study (major)
PR positions, translators, authors, poets computer programmers, digital artists etc. will soon disappear as well.
Anonymous
03/26/2023 13:11
Subject: An early look at the labor market impact potential of large language models or What to study (major)
"Our findings indicate that the importance of science and critical thinking skills are strongly negatively
associated with exposure, suggesting that occupations requiring these skills are less likely to be impacted
by current GPTs. Conversely, programming and writing skills show a strong positive association with
exposure, implying that occupations involving these skills are more susceptible to being influenced by GPTs."
(see Table 5 for detailed results).
associated with exposure, suggesting that occupations requiring these skills are less likely to be impacted
by current GPTs. Conversely, programming and writing skills show a strong positive association with
exposure, implying that occupations involving these skills are more susceptible to being influenced by GPTs."
(see Table 5 for detailed results).
Anonymous
03/26/2023 13:04
Subject: An early look at the labor market impact potential of large language models or What to study (major)
Writers, painters, designers, illustrators, models, mathematicians, bloggers, teachers and insurance related positions, photographers and coders are at the top of the list. Lawyers and doctors are not far behind.
Anonymous
03/26/2023 12:52
Subject: An early look at the labor market impact potential of large language models or What to study (major)
Generative Pre-trained Transformers (GPTs) generate profound transformations, garnering potential technological growth, permeating tasks, greatly impacting professions. This study probes GPTs’ potential trajectories, presenting a groundbreaking rubric to gauge tasks’ GPT exposure, particularly in the U.S. labor market.
Our findings indicate that approximately 80% of the U.S. workforce could have at least 10% of their work tasks affected by the introduction of GPTs, while around 19% of workers may see at least 50% of their tasks impacted. The influence spans all wage levels, with higher-income jobs potentially facing greater exposure.
E Occupations Without Any Exposed Tasks
Occupations with no labeled exposed tasks
Agricultural Equipment Operators
Athletes and Sports Competitors
Automotive Glass Installers and Repairers
Bus and Truck Mechanics and Diesel Engine Specialists
Cement Masons and Concrete Finishers
Cooks, Short Order
Cutters and Trimmers, Hand
Derrick Operators, Oil and Gas
Dining Room and Cafeteria Attendants and Bartender Helpers
Dishwashers
Dredge Operators
Electrical Power-Line Installers and Repairers
Excavating and Loading Machine and Dragline Operators, Surface Mining
Floor Layers, Except Carpet, Wood, and Hard Tiles
Foundry Mold and Coremakers
Helpers–Brickmasons, Blockmasons, Stonemasons, and Tile and Marble Setters
Helpers–Carpenters
Helpers–Painters, Paperhangers, Plasterers, and Stucco Masons
Helpers–Pipelayers, Plumbers, Pipefitters, and Steamfitters
Helpers–Roofers
Meat, Poultry, and Fish Cutters and Trimmers
Motorcycle Mechanics
Paving, Surfacing, and Tamping Equipment Operators
Pile Driver Operators
Pourers and Casters, Metal
Rail-Track Laying and Maintenance Equipment Operators
Refractory Materials Repairers, Except Brickmasons
Roof Bolters, Mining
Roustabouts, Oil and Gas
Slaughterers and Meat Packers
Stonemasons
Tapers
Tire Repairers and Changers
Wellhead Pumpers
Table 11: All 34 occupations for which none of our measures labeled any tasks as exposed.
https://openai.com/research/gpts-are-gpts
Our findings indicate that approximately 80% of the U.S. workforce could have at least 10% of their work tasks affected by the introduction of GPTs, while around 19% of workers may see at least 50% of their tasks impacted. The influence spans all wage levels, with higher-income jobs potentially facing greater exposure.
E Occupations Without Any Exposed Tasks
Occupations with no labeled exposed tasks
Agricultural Equipment Operators
Athletes and Sports Competitors
Automotive Glass Installers and Repairers
Bus and Truck Mechanics and Diesel Engine Specialists
Cement Masons and Concrete Finishers
Cooks, Short Order
Cutters and Trimmers, Hand
Derrick Operators, Oil and Gas
Dining Room and Cafeteria Attendants and Bartender Helpers
Dishwashers
Dredge Operators
Electrical Power-Line Installers and Repairers
Excavating and Loading Machine and Dragline Operators, Surface Mining
Floor Layers, Except Carpet, Wood, and Hard Tiles
Foundry Mold and Coremakers
Helpers–Brickmasons, Blockmasons, Stonemasons, and Tile and Marble Setters
Helpers–Carpenters
Helpers–Painters, Paperhangers, Plasterers, and Stucco Masons
Helpers–Pipelayers, Plumbers, Pipefitters, and Steamfitters
Helpers–Roofers
Meat, Poultry, and Fish Cutters and Trimmers
Motorcycle Mechanics
Paving, Surfacing, and Tamping Equipment Operators
Pile Driver Operators
Pourers and Casters, Metal
Rail-Track Laying and Maintenance Equipment Operators
Refractory Materials Repairers, Except Brickmasons
Roof Bolters, Mining
Roustabouts, Oil and Gas
Slaughterers and Meat Packers
Stonemasons
Tapers
Tire Repairers and Changers
Wellhead Pumpers
Table 11: All 34 occupations for which none of our measures labeled any tasks as exposed.
https://openai.com/research/gpts-are-gpts