Anonymous wrote:We know 3 kids, maybe more, who got off the 9th grade wait list, but they all had the head of our K-8 advocating for them, and this was not in the past two years.
Also, as a PP says, spots will not open up as people decline; they only open up if the school has overestimated its yield.
Anonymous wrote:If waitlisted what is the chance of coming off of the waitlist? 9th grade. We are not interested at all in any other school, this is the school for us.
Anonymous wrote:So exhausting. Please assume that they offer a spot to 1.35X the number of spots available, assuming 30-40% of offers are rejected. So…30 spots = 42 admits. Only if 12-15 kids are offered a spot and choose not to take it do they go to the list.
Using this example, they would know that statistically, 25-35% of kinds reject an offer of admission. Only if this year is a massive statistical deviation from a lifetime of data would any school need to go to their list. In that circumstance, they likely have 100 kids in a waiting pool for the 1 spot. In filling the spot, they will see what they need to make up their class. Is there gender balance? Is a race under-represented? Are they desperate for a back-up quarterback or second chair tuba player? The triangulation of that data is what determines who, if any, gets out of the waiting pool. To reiterate, these circumstances are exceptionally rare, particularly at the more competitive schools.
Does it happen occasionally? Yes. It is something that you should even think is in the realm of possibility? No.