I think MD elects the MAGA governor.

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:VA-10 is Wexton/Cao and the only one that’s really local here. VA-7 is Spanberger/Vega which is more in the Richmond suburbs although we still get the ads here because of the small part of the district in Fredericksburg, and VA-2 is Luria/Kiggans down in Virginia Beach.

Spanberger is definitely going to lose.

You don’t know that. No one does.

I admittedly am not following her race closely but the only thing I did see from her confused me if she was running against Tulsi Gabbard. Since that’s what she’s doing with her time, she’s going to lose.

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:VA-10 is Wexton/Cao and the only one that’s really local here. VA-7 is Spanberger/Vega which is more in the Richmond suburbs although we still get the ads here because of the small part of the district in Fredericksburg, and VA-2 is Luria/Kiggans down in Virginia Beach.

Spanberger is definitely going to lose.

You don’t know that. No one does.

I think Kondik (above) has it right. Luria is the most endangered followed by Spanberger and Wexton. If Wexton loses, that signals a red tsunami with a sizable GOP House majority and maybe up to 54 Senate seats.

I think Republicans pick up VA-2 and VA-7 but Wexton is able to hang on in VA-10. While a little further away, I am really curious what happen with Oz vs Fetterman in Pennsylvania.

Anonymous wrote:VA-10 is Wexton/Cao and the only one that’s really local here. VA-7 is Spanberger/Vega which is more in the Richmond suburbs although we still get the ads here because of the small part of the district in Fredericksburg, and VA-2 is Luria/Kiggans down in Virginia Beach.

Spanberger is definitely going to lose.

VA-10 is Wexton/Cao and the only one that’s really local here. VA-7 is Spanberger/Vega which is more in the Richmond suburbs although we still get the ads here because of the small part of the district in Fredericksburg, and VA-2 is Luria/Kiggans down in Virginia Beach.

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:What are your predictions of the chances of Rs being elected in DMV local elections?

Krucoff in Ward 3?
Sullivan for Montgomery County Executive?
Any Virginia delegates?
MoCo district 2?

Not asking your preferences, asking your predictions.

Wexton's in trouble (VA-10). Only up by 2%, within margin of error.
Spanberger's only up by 5% in VA-7.

I thought Wexton was pretty far ahead, polling-wise? I haven’t heard of her only being up +2.

Anonymous wrote:What are your predictions of the chances of Rs being elected in DMV local elections?

Krucoff in Ward 3?
Sullivan for Montgomery County Executive?
Any Virginia delegates?
MoCo district 2?

Not asking your preferences, asking your predictions.

No for MoCo District 2. Marilyn has been out there pounding the pavement for almost 2 years. She's run a good campaign. She's fairly moderate, pro-business, and has cross-party appeal for all but the extremes on both sides of the aisle.

As much as I would love to see Elrich lose, I don't think Sully will win. I do hope he makes a very strong showing though. Make the progressives start caring about the moderates a bit.

Not local, but in VA Beach area: Elaine Luria (D, inc) is in a dead heat with her Republican opponent.

VA could flip three seats to the R's.

Anonymous wrote:I think Wexton and Spanberger both lose

I can't imagine what Congress is becoming if people like Hung Cao and Yesli Vega can get elected.

I think Wexton and Spanberger both lose

not DC or MoCo but some of the outlying CDs maybe

Anonymous wrote:What are your predictions of the chances of Rs being elected in DMV local elections?

Krucoff in Ward 3?
Sullivan for Montgomery County Executive?
Any Virginia delegates?
MoCo district 2?

Not asking your preferences, asking your predictions.

Wexton's in trouble (VA-10). Only up by 2%, within margin of error.
Spanberger's only up by 5% in VA-7.

What are your predictions of the chances of Rs being elected in DMV local elections?

Krucoff in Ward 3?
Sullivan for Montgomery County Executive?
Any Virginia delegates?
MoCo district 2?

Not asking your preferences, asking your predictions.