A lot of people are chiming in with personal experience and it's just one of those things where even a 3-5% risk of miscarriage is still a lot of pregnancies (that's 1 in 20 or 33). So it's both common but also significantly better odds than the 1 in 5 (ish) number when you first learn you are pregnant.

I had a miscarriage week after 7 week doctor visit where heartbeat was good.

Once you have that dating ultrasound with a heartbeat, the risk drops very low its not gone but every day that goes by that you remain pregnant, the risk gets lower and lower.

https://www.shortform.com/blog/chance-of-miscarriage-by-week-full-chart/

Forgot the link

Anonymous wrote:I think there’s a graph in expecting better (Emily osters book)

Here is a copy of that. I honestly looked this up every week those first few months!

There is a website that crunches the numbers based on weeks/days/prior miscarriages. Google "miscarriage risk calculator." It is reassuring. I checked it every day during my last pregnancy and it ended up working out

I think there’s a graph in expecting better (Emily osters book)

I had two miscarriages at around 10 weeks after a normal 7 week or so dating ultrasound. I have no idea if this is true. Also, this won’t help your friend not stress, but just because you hit 12 weeks doesn’t mean all will be fine. Yes, chances diminish as you go, but they’re still there. As someone who suffered multiple losses, it’s more helpful to think that today, you’re pregnant.

Don’t borrow trouble, OP. Enjoy!

I don’t know. I had a perfectly normal ultrasound at 6 weeks and then 8 weeks through my fertility clinic. Found out at 10 week ultrasound baby had stopped growing a few days prior.

Maybe, but I had a miscarriage post normal u/s but before 12 weeks and so did my two closest friends so I'm not sure it holds up.

If is more or less true but the exact risk varies a bit based on age, as well as the timing of the ultrasound (i.e., an u/s at 8w is better than one at 6w even if you’re currently at 8w gestation).

I remember during my first pregnancy in 2016, reading on this site that your MC risk drops to like 3% or 5% after 7/8 weeks when you have an ULTRASOUND where the heartbeat looks good and the baby is the right size for your dates.

Is this true? Does anyone have a reference for it? I want to share with a friend who is stressing.