Anonymous
Post 07/09/2022 15:32     Subject: Elrich leads Blair by 6 points according to a new poll

Anonymous wrote:I think it's important to realize that none of these polls sample people who have switched from independent/Republican to Democrat simply to vote against Elrich. And there are many.

People living in their progressive bubbles don't seem to realize how much many "regular" Democrats hate Elrich. Now, whether they get out to vote or not, I have no idea. So far early voting has been very light.


What’s a “regular “ Democrat?
Anonymous
Post 07/09/2022 15:29     Subject: Elrich leads Blair by 6 points according to a new poll

Anonymous wrote:I think it's important to realize that none of these polls sample people who have switched from independent/Republican to Democrat simply to vote against Elrich. And there are many.

People living in their progressive bubbles don't seem to realize how much many "regular" Democrats hate Elrich. Now, whether they get out to vote or not, I have no idea. So far early voting has been very light.


How many "regular" Democrats hate Elrich? Are you basing that on a poll or on your own personal feelings? My neighbors and I lobbied Elrich about an issue and he did respond. I'd like to see some changes in the county but I don't think Blair is set up to be objective. How can you be objective when you are funded by out of state developers?
Anonymous
Post 07/09/2022 15:23     Subject: Elrich leads Blair by 6 points according to a new poll

Anonymous wrote:https://www.marylandmatters.org/2022/07/09/political-notes-moco-polls-offer-different-views-on-exec-race-and-lierman-and-moore-are-up-with-new-ads/

Taken from the above site:

A survey by Progressives for Progress, a political action committee funded by real estate interests, shows the race tightening. In this snapshot of the electorate, Elrich’s once-massive lead is down to six points.

Elrich was the choice of 33% of Democrats surveyed, followed by Blair at 27%, Riemer at 15% and Peter James at 1%. Nearly a quarter of the electorate was undecided.

In a June survey conducted by the same firm, Columbia-based Gonzales Polls, Elrich led Blair 45%-20%, with Riemer at 15%.

----

It's very possible that we see Elrich lose to Blair and if not, Blair is in a good position to run as an Independent in the Fall and challenge him.


Democrats running in the primary agree not to run as independents in the general. That’s why they had to recruit Floreen last time. She didn’t run in the primary.
Anonymous
Post 07/09/2022 15:17     Subject: Elrich leads Blair by 6 points according to a new poll

Anonymous wrote:I won't be voting for Elrich, even though I think he's fine at the job. I called his office once -- got voice mail -- and asked someone to call me back about an important issue. No response. This is a COUNTY representative. Even a state congressman should be responsive to constituents. But on a county level -- nothing? Really?

I will not be giving him my vote. Hopefully someone else will feel they should be responsive to their constituents, at this low level of government.


Obviously you get to use your vote as you see fit. If I had a vitally important issue that I wanted to discuss, I probably would have sent an email and called again, particularly if the call was made during a pandemic. My goal would have been to successfully communicate regarding my issue. I can’t imagine deciding not to pursue it — and seething publicly— after leaving a random VM message, that may or may not have been accurately received.
I hope that whoever gets your vote is indeed as responsive as you would like them to be.
Anonymous
Post 07/09/2022 15:10     Subject: Elrich leads Blair by 6 points according to a new poll

Anonymous wrote:I'm suspicious of someone, like Blair, who tries to buy an election. He must be expecting some sort of payout.


I’m both suspicious of someone who tries to buy an election, and suspicious of someone who seems to seek out only top leadership roles — without the skills that can come from paying your dues. I would be less skeptical of Blair if he had spent his time since the last election doing something more obviously community-minded then preparing to run again in this one.
Anonymous
Post 07/09/2022 15:03     Subject: Elrich leads Blair by 6 points according to a new poll

Anonymous wrote:I won't be voting for Elrich, even though I think he's fine at the job. I called his office once -- got voice mail -- and asked someone to call me back about an important issue. No response. This is a COUNTY representative. Even a state congressman should be responsive to constituents. But on a county level -- nothing? Really?

I will not be giving him my vote. Hopefully someone else will feel they should be responsive to their constituents, at this low level of government.


His office is too disorganized to have good constituent services.
Anonymous
Post 07/09/2022 15:02     Subject: Elrich leads Blair by 6 points according to a new poll

Anonymous wrote:I'm suspicious of someone, like Blair, who tries to buy an election. He must be expecting some sort of payout.


I was suspicious too. And voted for Elrich last time because of it. Huge mistake.

Trone did the same thing, and he seems to be doing well as a Congressman.
Anonymous
Post 07/09/2022 14:59     Subject: Elrich leads Blair by 6 points according to a new poll

I'm suspicious of someone, like Blair, who tries to buy an election. He must be expecting some sort of payout.
Anonymous
Post 07/09/2022 14:52     Subject: Elrich leads Blair by 6 points according to a new poll

I won't be voting for Elrich, even though I think he's fine at the job. I called his office once -- got voice mail -- and asked someone to call me back about an important issue. No response. This is a COUNTY representative. Even a state congressman should be responsive to constituents. But on a county level -- nothing? Really?

I will not be giving him my vote. Hopefully someone else will feel they should be responsive to their constituents, at this low level of government.
Anonymous
Post 07/09/2022 14:51     Subject: Elrich leads Blair by 6 points according to a new poll

Anonymous wrote:https://www.marylandmatters.org/2022/07/09/political-notes-moco-polls-offer-different-views-on-exec-race-and-lierman-and-moore-are-up-with-new-ads/

Taken from the above site:

A survey by Progressives for Progress, a political action committee funded by real estate interests, shows the race tightening. In this snapshot of the electorate, Elrich’s once-massive lead is down to six points.

Elrich was the choice of 33% of Democrats surveyed, followed by Blair at 27%, Riemer at 15% and Peter James at 1%. Nearly a quarter of the electorate was undecided.

In a June survey conducted by the same firm, Columbia-based Gonzales Polls, Elrich led Blair 45%-20%, with Riemer at 15%.

----

It's very possible that we see Elrich lose to Blair and if not, Blair is in a good position to run as an Independent in the Fall and challenge him.


Of course if Blair changes his party to run as an Independent, while that might attract some voters, it will be a huge turnoff to others. Since Blair doesn’t have an actual track record of government or community service, he’ll be running as a wealthy businessman, who’s willing to shift his party alliance for expediency. As someone who already has questions about his ability to respond to the needs and interests of those of us who don’t share his privileges, if Blair were to shift parties after losing the primary, I would find that very problematic. If he’s truly an Independent, then he needs to realize that, and communicate that to potential voters BEFORE running as a Democrat and losing.

Anonymous
Post 07/09/2022 14:48     Subject: Elrich leads Blair by 6 points according to a new poll

Anonymous wrote:I would love to see Blair pull out a victory


Same. A solid one.
Anonymous
Post 07/09/2022 14:33     Subject: Elrich leads Blair by 6 points according to a new poll

I would love to see Blair pull out a victory
Anonymous
Post 07/09/2022 14:10     Subject: Elrich leads Blair by 6 points according to a new poll

This is the best reason yet not to vote for Riemer. He should do the right thing and drop out.
Anonymous
Post 07/09/2022 13:15     Subject: Elrich leads Blair by 6 points according to a new poll

I think it's important to realize that none of these polls sample people who have switched from independent/Republican to Democrat simply to vote against Elrich. And there are many.

People living in their progressive bubbles don't seem to realize how much many "regular" Democrats hate Elrich. Now, whether they get out to vote or not, I have no idea. So far early voting has been very light.
Anonymous
Post 07/09/2022 12:33     Subject: Elrich leads Blair by 6 points according to a new poll

https://www.marylandmatters.org/2022/07/09/political-notes-moco-polls-offer-different-views-on-exec-race-and-lierman-and-moore-are-up-with-new-ads/

Taken from the above site:

A survey by Progressives for Progress, a political action committee funded by real estate interests, shows the race tightening. In this snapshot of the electorate, Elrich’s once-massive lead is down to six points.

Elrich was the choice of 33% of Democrats surveyed, followed by Blair at 27%, Riemer at 15% and Peter James at 1%. Nearly a quarter of the electorate was undecided.

In a June survey conducted by the same firm, Columbia-based Gonzales Polls, Elrich led Blair 45%-20%, with Riemer at 15%.

----

It's very possible that we see Elrich lose to Blair and if not, Blair is in a good position to run as an Independent in the Fall and challenge him.