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Reply to "Military observations on Ukraine invasion"
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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]ZELENSKIY SAYS RUSSIA AIMS TO SEIZE ALL THE EAST AND SOUTH OF UKRAINE -RTRS - no shit, Odessa imo was always the crown jewel target from the start. Bret bedbug Stephens is mostly wrong but on this he was right. Putin is doing a classic 19th century move of capturing physical attributes. He doesn’t really care for Keev and Lviv[/quote] Black Sea gas deposits. There's enough gas within Ukraine's territorial waters to supply Europe and completely cut off Russia. The big irony is that Putin is fighting a war to maintain their natural gas market share but the act of war itself is going to do even more damage to their market share. Putin is such a ridiculous fool. [/quote] It’s like that O. Henry story, Gift of the Magi. Here I have murdered my way into this supply of LNG but no demand for it because of all the murdering.[/quote] Putin is betting on a long enough timeline demand will be there from enough people who are Kissingerian at heart [/quote] Putin will be dead before this is forgiven and forgotten.[/quote] This. And that is the heart of the miscalculation. Those sanctions are not coming off. Ever. Can they survive --- sure --- look at Iran. But Iran is always a month away from running out of money or starvation. They avoid it but there is no net. Russians not as smart as Iranians. They will screw it up and have no net. The miscalculation is that people cared. [/quote]
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