Reply to A thread of optimism: why do you think Trump will win in 2020?

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[quote=Anonymous]
[quote]You don't get it.

I truly doubt that any Dem candidate, after going through the primaries and the general election, will get to a 42% approval rate.

They will pander to the Dem base, and end with 35-40% approval of the general electorate.

So, who do you think is more likely to win, the incumbent with 42% approval rate or some unproven candidate 5-40% approval? [/quote]

I agree with this.  First of all, I think that too many of the D candidates melt into each other.  translation - No one really stands out.  Then, when I mention immigration, I get slapped around, but DCUMers in their bubbles don't frighten me. So I'll say it again and again - If the top D candidate doesn't have a solid immigration platform, s/he is toast.  Finally, there are many Inds who lean right.  In fact, those who left the Ds can't stand the super progressives who live their lives on clouds. Their ideas are simply not practical.

The Ds can't hold it together.  I say this as a former D.  Let's see how if the clown car can thin out after the first debate.  But sometimes even the most articulate candidates can't walk the walk.  [/quote]

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