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Reply to "Which Dem can win general election in 2020?"
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[quote=Anonymous]The liar-in-chief has an approval rate ceiling of 43% and floor of about 37%. He bounces around within this narrow band. So about 1/3 will believe the serial cheater, liar and fraud and they would vote for him even if he insults them, grabs their wife's/daughter's p**** or murders someone in broad day light on 5th avenue. Then there is the other 50%+ that WILL NOT approve him NO MATTER how great the economy is, no matter what. https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/trump-approval-ratings/?ex_cid=rrpromo It doesn't bode well for him because he is not gonna add any new support from minorities (who are 33% of American electorate in 2020) OR Gen-Y/Gen-Z voters who are 40% of electorate. https://www.pewsocialtrends.org/essay/an-early-look-at-the-2020-electorate/ Note that Hispanic/Asian share together increases by 2% and white share drops by 2% since 2016. https://www.axios.com/2020-presidential-election-millennials-generation-z-8c54a77a-c6f5-40bc-850c-95e4f1217e62.html Note that the Gen Z vote(just turning 18) is doubling to 10% from 5% in 2016 with corresponding fall in over 75 and Boomer Gen while the GenX and Millennial stays stable. The argument that Minorities and Gen Z don't vote doesn't pass any muster because even if they vote only 50%, thats a net benefit for dems as they split ATLEAST 2-1 for dems. Meanwhile the white share is declining rapidly every election cycle. The republicans are seriously going to indulge in election fraud like they did in NC 9 to win even the EC. They will bring back dead white men to vote and stop living hispanic/black person from voting. That is their only two pronged strategy to win. [/quote]
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