Reply to Who said there isn't a North-South divide?

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Reply to "Who said there isn't a North-South divide?"

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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]

The neighborhood around Nottingham has an enormous walk zone. A whole lot more people from that neighborhood will apply to ATS than currently do if it’s a choice between walking to ATS or being bused to Tuckahoe or Discovery. More applications from that area means that even with a random lottery, that neighborhood will get a larger percentage of the ATS seats than they do (Nottingham, Tuckahoe and Discovery currently send proportionally fewer students to ATS than most other APS schools), which would leave fewer seats for South Arlington families.[/quote]

That's blatantly false and easily disproved looking at the transfer report.
Nottingham has 18 transfers to ATS, Tuckahoe 19, and Discovery 23.     Drew has 13, Randolph has 13 Patrick Henry has 17

I'm not sure what your proportionality argument is?   Nottingham has 525 students, Tuckahoe 526, Discovery 600.  Drew has 570, Randolph 417, Patrick Henry 617.  [/quote]

Here are the transfer rates to ATS last year as a % of enrolled students for Nottingham, Tuckahoe and Discovery:

Nottingham: 3.43% 
Tuckahoe: 3.61% 
Discovery: 3.83%

By contrast, the average transfer rates for the elementary schools right around ATS last year was 7.37%. If we assume that same rate would apply to the neighborhoods immediately around Nottingham if ATS moved there, that would result in a total of 122 students transferring to ATS, more than double the 60 that did last year. [/quote]

well okay- by that logic then the transfer rates from McKinley and Ashlawn would fall- which would still result in the same number of seats available for the rest of the county.[/quote]

You'd probably see a drop for Ashlawn, but not really for McKinley. McKinley is less than half a mile further from Nottingham than ATS (some parts of the current zone are closer to Nottingham than to ATS), and can actually be a shorter drive to Nottingham than ATS during rush hour because you're not so tied to high-traffic roads.[/quote]

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