Reply to Base Schools Sending Most Students to TJ

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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]^ the last two posts explain well who is going to TJ and why.  The base schools data in the OP has little to do with it.  Just a correlation without much meaning.[/quote]

No, it tells you a lot.  You just don't know what it means.[/quote]

well go ahead and humour me and give it (another) shot.  What does it tell you?[/quote]

The breakdown by HS data tells you more about where the students who attend TJ actually live and how those high schools are impacted by the loss of students to TJ.

The MS data is more informative if all you want to check is which AAP centers send the most kids to TJ.  The size of the MS AAP centers, however, varies considerably, since some areas have higher concentrations of AAP kids than others and there is more capacity for an AAP center at some schools than others.  Here's roughly how many ES send their AAP kids to the MS centers:

South County 5 (138)
Longfellow 7.5 (534)
Carson 9 (558)
Kilmer 9.5 (444)
Glasgow 10 (301)
Frost 11 (321)
Hughes 12.5 (203)
Sandburg 14 (291)
Twain 14 (190)
Jackson 14.5 (333)
Lake Braddock 16 (362)
Rocky Run 17 (612)

So you'd expect Rocky Run to send a lot of kids to TJ, which it does, but buying into an area that has Rocky Run as its AAP center doesn't, by itself, tell you much.  On the other hand, Carson and Longfellow are the two other biggest feeders to TJ, yet they pull from a much smaller number of elementary schools.  So that gives you a somewhat stronger signal.[/quote]

I added the number of AAP students at each MS AAP center so you can now see the number of ES feeding into each AAP center and the number of AAP students.[/quote]

You have to take 1/2 of the numbers you added to get the rate.  The number you added is for both 7th and 8th grade.  The number admitted would come out of the number of kids in 8th grade.  [/quote]

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