Reply to How long before Higher Ed collapses due to AI?

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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]5 years? I know some top schools will stay around as novelty but overall seems like collapse is imminent. When graduating classes start experiencing increasing double digit unemployment? Seems like that is just around the corner.[/quote]

There is zero chance of this. For one thing, AI is no where close to ready for prime time. Second, you still need humans to develop content, review fact and oterhwise be creative. Three AI can do things that humans can in the physical world. The fact is, yes, there are tasks that AI can complete, but only 80% of the way there and it requires humans to get the other 20%, regardless of task.[/quote]

Yes but when AI is completing 80% of the tasks and only requiring deminimus effort from humans to complete it, the jobs for humans will start drying out.  And as humans "fix" or "complete" the task to 100%, AI is learning what the human is doing (when companies start using employees to feed training data to AI as many companies have started to do) and iteratively getting better at completing the task to 100%.  And, I don't think you're 5 years ago.  There's an exponential growth curve happening in the world of AI.  Think about the last year and how much more functionality and utility we got from the top two models out there.[/quote]

They still mostly suck.[/quote]

No they actually dont.  If you've been using the models over the last two years, you know exactly how good they gotten.  They're not perfect (and I'm not sure they can ever reach perfection given what LLMs are); however, to say they "suck," just means you haven't really been using the models other than to fix some emails.  [/quote]

The other problem is that most people don't know how to actually write proper prompts.  They get garbled information or the model hallucinates.  There's all kinds of issues when your prompting is actually the problem.  People think asking Claude questions as if you were just chatting with the bot is the way to get a fully fledged answer.  It's not.  But no one is actually taking the time to learn how to prompt (especially non-coders).  [/quote]

Seems like it won’t be very disruptive then if the problem is that “most people” simply can’t use it.[/quote]

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