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DC Public and Public Charter Schools
Reply to "Lottery Nerd - Waitlist predictions"
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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]PK4 Bruce Monroe Eng Dominant #6 Tubman #8 Cleveland Eng Dominant #9[/quote] LN here. Bruce Monroe Eng Dominant #6 - Very unlikely. They let in a sixth person just once in the past five years, and it was four years ago. Less than 20%. Tubman #8 - This one's hard to say. Based purely on historical data, you'd have a 40% shot (2 out of the past five years, you would have gotten in). BUT they are in a brand new building, so it's likely demand is higher. So I'd say more like a 20% shot. Cleveland Eng Dominant #9 - Unlikely. They let in this many people five and four years ago, so MAYBE a 40% shot, but one of those was the pandemic year, which is weird for PK. I'd say more like a 20% shot. You should plan on something else. [/quote]
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