Reply to Assuming they are all independent separate events, the probability of receiving at least one acceptance is 33% if you ap

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[quote=Anonymous]I think the OP makes more sense than some claim, at least today compared to the past. When I applied to colleges it was clearly very driven by GPAs and SAT scores; while you couldn't predict what colleges you would get into, it was unusual to get accepted to a more selective college and then rejected by less selective schools.

Today, with GPA and SAT inflation, applicants are much, much more similar on the measurables. Which means it comes down to different factors. Sure, some ECs are clearly more attractive, but it also can come down to the intangibles that may appeal to one college but not appeal to others.

In those cases where factors other then GPA/SAT scores are the tie breaker, the applications are (more or less) independent events. And so it does kind of make sense to apply to more schools, at least if the application quality can be maintained.

[quote=Anonymous]Assuming they are all independent separate events, the probability of receiving at least one acceptance is 33% if you apply to 10 colleges each with 4% admit rate.[/quote][/quote]

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