Reply to Pool size for TPMS and Eastern lotteries

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Reply to "Pool size for TPMS and Eastern lotteries"

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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]

That's the nature of lotteries. They're random.[/quote]

You'd think, yes.  And the PP should take heed that those differences year to year are natural results of probabilistic randomness across independent lotteries.

Then again, the "lottery luck" of certain families across elementary Centers for Enriched Studies and criteria-based magnet middle schools, along with the then-higher likelihood of selection to HS magnet programs strains credulity. Not impossible, but...

DCCAPS uses a third party to conduct the lotteries.  One can hope that there are oversight mechanisms in place, but neither that nor transparency have been MCPS's strong suit to this point.[/quote]

We went through this process last year. Every child in 5th grade we knew who had a current sibling in the TPMS magnet got in (4/4). The probability of this happening by chance is very, VERY low. It just made us question how random the lottery really is.[/quote]

This anecdotal experience, as repeated elsewhere, is the basis of the concern.  When there are such examples in numbers, it is reasonable to ask, "Who watches the watchers?"[/quote]

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