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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]Sounds like we may need to recalibrate whatever mechanism we are using for selecting the schools to which kids apply.
  What are people using as the rule of thumb?  Should a reach be a school where your child has a 35% chance of getting in, target 36 - 70% chance of getting in and safety 71% - 100% chance of getting in?  Is that reasonable?[/quote]
Depends on the kid's academic stats.

Before test optional became widespread due to covid test date cancellations, families used published test score ranges to help sort reaches, matches, and safeties. There was still a great deal of uncertainty for reaches, but not nearly as much as ensued under test optional.[/quote]

Agree. Use the high school Scoir scattergrams: many schools in the Top 30 have obvious all-green-check areas above a certain gpa and score, going off the last 3 cycles only. For quite a few top 30 schools they are definitely match schools or even likelies for the students in the top 5-10% of the class with great scores at our magnet. Also talk to your high school counselor [/quote]

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