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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]Ten years ago everyone was saying self-driving cars would soon eliminate truck drivers, taxi drivers, etc.  So far that hasn’t happened and fully autonomous driving seems a long way off.  Likewise, I don’t see AI displacing white collar workers anytime soon.  There are too many things it can’t do at all, like interviewing/deposing witnesses (for concerned lawyers), or can’t do as well as a human, and developing those capabilities could take decades.[/quote]

In high school, people barely had the internet.  I didn't even own a cell phone until college. Now everyone has high speed internet and it is pretty much an essential utility. 3 year olds are completely fictional with a smart phone. I can look up almost all knowledge of human history on my smart phone. All of this development happened in 20 years. Non-STEM people really cannot wrap their brains around exponential and logarithmic growth.  Once the AI genie is out of the bottle it is going to learn and improve at an exponential rate. It will easily replace many white collar jobs in a matter of a few years.[/quote]
Technologies like the Internet don’t compare to AI.  No one can predict when it will be capable of displacing sophisticated white collar work.  And it’s way to premature to say it will happen in just a few years.[/quote]

I am a STEM person (Computer Science) and, while I agree it’s inevitable, I also agree it’s not a few years away. That said, I firmly believe we need to ensure worldwide understanding of the ground rules for building AI now, which is unlikely to happen. The robots can absolutely take over. Anyone with any background in programming should understand that as fact. [/quote]

Electric blackout and it's all gone[/quote]

Haha, totally.  It's not ok to rely on something that's so easy to wipe out and is so fragile.  I mean AI can be killed easily while humans can survive and have survived for millions of years without electricity.

AI is only as good as its "training set" - data provided for its learning algorithms to form and apply patterns to new inputs to generate results. 
For some things this works really well, like where problem space is well defined and AI can efficiently process tons of information (related info) and produce very good results sometimes surpassing slow humans.  AI had become more sophisticated because speed of processing increased exponentially and huge volumes of input data can be processed like never before.  But I don't see that the fundamentals how AI learns about the world have changed.  In a vast problem space that's poorly defined AI struggles and stumbles.  It's why it's so hard to replace functions of a human housecleaner, for example.   Even though it's a low skill job for a human, it requires AI to learn exponentially more things about space and objects in it and their properties and purpose, and maneuvering, and interacting and dealing with pets, etc that AI has to practically become "human" (in its understanding of the universe and objects) and also get very sophisticated sensors to do this simple job.

Natural language processing where AI made leaps and bounds is "patternable" and the receiver of information is also the "interpreter".  When AI "talks" to us we tend to "fill in the blanks" and assign meaning - "humanize" the entity on the other end.  It's how communication works and why it's easier for AI to pretend to be human and get away with it when it's about language.

In everything AI related Quality of training data determines how well AI "learns".  And universe of data AI gets is limited to what humans allow it to access.  Emergent conscious AI (arising from the network of interconnected objects and their unrelated information) for now is domain of science fiction. [/quote]

Absolutely SciFi,  but I don’t mean androids that appear to be human. More in the sense that they could learn how to learn, and then behave in manners we can’t predict. Or be used in manners we can’t control. All of this stated….that’s not what ChatGPT is doing. As absolutely impressive as it is…..it’s not doing what people seem to think it’s doing.[/quote]

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