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Metropolitan DC Local Politics
Reply to "Sullivan — deliberately misleading"
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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]Who cares? He doesn't have a chance of winning[/quote] This is true. But what is threshold for people to pause and ask if maybe the Elrich message/campaign is not resonating? Ficker got 16% of the vote What if Sully gets 25%, or 32% (double Ficker) That's probably the more realistic possibility vs him winning. Truthfully, the most likely outcome is that Sullivan sees a slight uptick. Ficker got 65k votes; I could see Sullivan getting 70-75k. But that's probably not enough to start a conversation on county frustration with Democratic leadership[/quote] Sully will get a higher percentage than Ficker because Floreen is not running as an Independent. Most post-election analysis from four years ago determined that Floreen had zero effect on Elrich’s vote share but a significant effect on Ficker’s vote share. I expect Sully to probably get around 35% of the vote this time around.[/quote]
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