Reply to Hurricane Ian's effect on Florida voting

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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]The hardest hit areas literally weren’t even inside “the cone” 48 hours before the hurricane hit. So the people telling everyone to look at weather reports (or expecting DeSantis to evacuate his whole state???) are nuts. The hurricane was originally coming directly for Tampa or north of Tampa. It ended up hardly hitting Tampa. DeSantis repeatedly said that there was a lot more uncertainty for this one than is typical for hurricanes and that we all had to watch closely for any changes.[/quote]

They were inside the cone. Not in the center, but in the cone. Anyone living on the Florida Gulf Coast has to know that the interaction with Cuba was going to affect the path and the strength of a hurricane, so the track before Cuba is a midrange estimate of the probabilities. It went over Cuba without significantly weakening and then wobbled repeatedly while the eye reorganized and the hurricane got bigger and stronger. The wobbling was obvious on the radar images and all the hurricane and weather people were pointing it out. People in flood-prone places should have been preparing to evacuate and watching the strength and track. This was a big storm. Even if it went to Tampa it would have inundated Sanibel and Cape Coral. They were on the side where the strongest winds were pushing water into the bays, rivers, and canals. [/quote]

People look to the government and the media for signals about HOW serious a situation is. The Lee County officials and even Ron DeSantis seem to be saying they didn't know how serious it was, and that's why none of this is their fault (of course). How are regular people supposed to have known? My spouse works in insurance and so he was studying these hurricane maps in detail, and he started noticing the shift on Sunday. Why didn't Lee County officials and Ron DeSantis have that same level of attention and detail? It is literally their job to sound the alarm and make sure people understand how bad something could get. They don't need 100% certainty to sound the alarm - you don't get 100% certainty with a hurricane.

This was an egregious government failure. 
[/quote]

If there were a fire raging in California and approaching your home, would you wait for your mayor to tell you to leave?[/quote]

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