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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]Has anyone seen good data on the advatage to applying ED? I do not mean the raw admissions rate, which is generally meaningless. It is hard to find any data comparing the likelihood of admission for a given student applying by different routes. 
One problem with using the raw admissions data is that it neglects that the sample of ED applicants is very different from RD applicants. Trying to account for this leaves me with rates that are not nealy as different. For example:
Columbia University 2021
Total applications 60551
Total admitted 2358  3.8%
Total attend 1569

RD Applications- 54116
RD admissions- 1706 3.1%

ED Applications- 6435
ED Admissions- 650   10.1%

But, roughly 193 of the admitted students were recruited athletes, nearly all of whom use ED, leaving 457 non-athletes admitted ED.
Then there are legacy admissions who tend to heavily use ED. I cannot find exact data, but inferring from Barnard, roughly 14% of all attending students are legacies, which would amount to at least 220 students of the admitted pool. Even with the conservative estimate that only 50% of these admitted legacies applied ED, that leaves only 347 non-athlete, non-legacies admitted ED for a rate 5.3%. The advantage does not seem to be nearly as great as people make it out to be.[/quote]

Assuming your numbers are correct, you'd still have a 40% better chance applying ED[/quote]

Yes, and $0.02 is 100% more than $0.01, but still meaningless.[/quote]

And the pools aren't identical--people choose their ED because they have a good shot there so candidates tend stronger.  RD includes everybody (including those deferred from ED).[/quote]

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